A very interesting piece in the New Republic on the FBI's need to start
gathering "strategic intelligence" as opposed to simply short-term
tactical info., By that, the author means doing more what the CIA does (or
is supposed to do) -- spot trends, look for patterns, etc.
Here's an excerpt:
"A smart intelligence analyst, looking at emerging trends in Islamist
terrorism, might have predicted that terrorists would try to hijack
airplanes and crash them into buildings. After all, September 11 may have
been the first time terrorists carried out the strategy successfully, but
it was not the first time they tried it. In 1994 hijackers from the Armed
Islamic Group--which is affiliated with Al Qaeda--hijacked an Air France
jet in Algiers and apparently planned to crash it into the Eiffel Tower,
but failed when French commandos stormed the plane when it stopped for
refueling. In 1995 Filipino authorities detected a Manila-based Al Qaeda
cell's plan to blow up eleven American airliners in mid-flight and crash a
twelfth into the CIA headquarters.
"With that terrorist m.o. in mind, and recognizing that the plot would
only work if one of the terrorists involved could fly a jetliner, the
analyst might have advised agents to keep an eye on flight schools that
offered such training. At the very least, a good analyst--thinking along
these lines--might have raised alarm bells at FBI headquarters in August
when agents from the Minneapolis field office began investigating
Moussaoui, whose suspicious behavior had led his instructors at a
Minnesota flight school to contact the bureau. The Minneapolis agents had
arrested Moussaoui on an immigration violation and--after getting a lead
from French intelligence that he had ties to bin Laden--had asked
headquarters in Washington for permission to seek a national security
search warrant that would allow them go through Moussaoui's computer. But
FBI lawyers denied the request for a search that might have tipped off the
bureau to the September 11 plot."
See the full article at:
http://www.thenewrepublic.com/123101/zengerle123101.html