~sprin5
Fri, Sep 22, 2000 (11:40)
seed
ronks@well.com has granted permission to reprint some of his sage comments on the business technical scene.
~sprin5
Fri, Sep 22, 2000 (11:40)
#1
Busy Techie (ronks) Fri Sep 22 '00 (08:29) 18 lines
Small Shops Succeeding On The Net
A recent study (oh boy, more statistics) of small businesses in downtown
commercial districts of older cities by the National Trust For Historic
Preservation shows that mom-and-pop retailers are benefiting from web sales
more than expected, and in many cases more than pure e-tailers. The survey
is not ideal because it focused on smaller cities where some downtown
revitalization was underway, so it might be skewed toward the optimistic,
but the findings are interesting nonetheless. About a sixth of the stores
polled were making sales over the Internet, on average one-seventh of their
sales volume. In-store sales were mostly flat, so their gains just about
equaled their web sales. Many of the stores are in niche markets like prom
dresses (timeforprom.com in Thomasville GA) or old movie soundtracks
(www.bsmusic.com in Montpelier VT) for whom the global exposure has been
significant. And with Amazon.com's network of alliances to small businesses
called zShops, the appearance of such stores on the Net is expected to grow.
~sprin5
Thu, Dec 7, 2000 (09:18)
#2
Internet Ad Companies, And Their Revenue, Shrink
DoubleClick let go over 150 employees, or about 7% of its staff, this week;
24/7 Media dumped 200 last month and Engage will boot 175. DoubleClick's
share price sank from $135 earlier this year to $12, while 24/7 went from
$65 to $1.28 and Engage slid from $95 to $1.72. Analysts say the falloff in
revenue is not just due to Internet merchants but includes traditional
advertisers as well. Even the good news in a report by AdRelevance which
says the number of retailers advertising on the Net quadrupled this year was
tempered by the remarkable statistic that the median number of times each ad
was seen dropped from 130,000 last year to 23,000. (I used to think it was
just a coincidence that my spell-checker keeps trying to change "dot-coms"
to "dot-comas"; now I wonder.)
.
- ronks
~sprin5
Thu, Dec 7, 2000 (09:18)
#3
Creditors', Customers' Rights Conflict In Dot-com Bankruptcies
If an online business promises never to sell information on its clients and
then goes under, does the bankruptcy court have the right to treat its
customer list as an asset to be sold? Yes but, seems to be the emerging
answer from a number of cases to date. Creditors of the defunct toysmart.com
site reached an agreement with the FTC, state AGs, and consumer advocates
that any buyer "must be in a related business, must purchase the entire Web
site, and must agree not to resell the data without the customers'
permission". This is not a binding precedent, but it may point the way
toward future compromises; in the toysmart.com example it's not gone to
court because so far no buyers have appeared. Living.com, another e-flop,
has sold its customer data to Martha Stewart and to direct marketer Maxwell
Sroge (I wonder if he has a partner named Marley), with customers
theoretically given the right to "opt out". While customer lists are
regularly bought and sold in the offline world of merchandising, there seems
to be a much greater resistance to allowing the practice among e-businesses.
With Red Ink, A Nice Cabernet
A Santa Barbara winery called SecretCellars.com is offering a bottle of 1996
cabernet sauvignon (which they modestly value at $1500) to "the person who
in 100 words or less writes the saddest tale of an Internet firm gone sour".
The deadline is December 13, and so far 2300 entries have been received. My
favorite is the web designer who works now as an attendant at Bowl-0-Rama.
The winery's CEO says she is not trying to reap a benefit from others'
misfortunes, asserting that "I am not capitalizing on these poor schmucks
who couldn't figure out that spending money on company picnics was not the
way." Such compassion... Another e-business, findwhat.com, offers free
advertising to any dot-com with less than $1 million in cash and still
losing money, or who has announced layoffs and not raised any new funds.
They say they have received about 50 applications so far, but turned most
down for failure to meet the rules. Findwhat itself, with a stock price at
$1 down from $18 nine months ago, may be eligible; they might even win the
wine bottle.
- ronks
~sprin5
Thu, Dec 7, 2000 (09:28)
#4
Covad Cuts
The Internet service provider will lay off about an eighth of its staff to
cut costs. They are also canceling the construction of a third operations
center planned for Georgia.
Dot-Coms Cut
Outplacement firm Challenger, Gray, & Christmas released its figures on jobs
eliminated at Internet companies this year, totaling about 30,000 so far.
Month Jobs Cut
Jan 300
Feb 100
March 25
April 400
May 2400
June 1800
July 2100
Aug 4200
Sept 4800
Oct 5800
Nov 8800 (so far)
Discover Offers Single-Use Account Number
As a security feature akin to a single-use password, Discover cardholders
may soon be able to buy over the Internet using an account number good for
only a single transaction. The "Discovery Deskshop" service is said to
resemble Amex's "Private Payments" disposable-number system introduced
earlier this fall.
- ronks
~sprin5
Thu, Dec 21, 2000 (16:52)
#5
More of ronks stuff, he sure provides some good tech news.
More L&H Woes
A report commissioned by the audit committee of Belgian speech-recognition
software maker Lernout & Hauspie says a pervasive disregard of the rules led
to (among other things) overstating revenue by $277 million in the last 30
months. Besides recording sales before they had a contract, the company
also sometimes attached secret side letters to a contract which changed the
terms. The primary culprits were the US and South Korea offices and Belgian
HQ, including the two founders. Criminal prosecution is a possibility.
Sharps and Flats
The Sharp Corporation says it will offer a 20-inch flat-screen TV for about
$1960 next year, starting in Japan.
Travel Web Sites
A column for the business traveler lists some interesting and potentially
useful Web sites:
includes a clickable "Real-Time Airport Status" map
showing reported airport-level delays.
includes a "Flight Tracker" with flight status by
airline and number, including prospective arrival time if it's in the air.
has maps of airline terminals around the world, with info
on gate locations and ground transportation.
And lists the three-letter airport codes and
relates them to their cities.
~sprin5
Mon, Jan 1, 2001 (22:38)
#6
ronks:
And the year after Chad...
Free ISP Era Ends
NetZero, Juno, and Bluelight have all dropped their policies of unlimited
Web access for everyone - everyone willing to endure a torrent of on-screen
advertising, that is. Caps on the number of hours per month, or charges for
usage beyond a fixed amount, and tiered pricing have replaced the all-you-
can-eat model, for two main reasons. One is the problem of a minority of
users who consume a disproportionate percentage of the ISPs' resources, with
some "using the service to run their business" according to Bluelight's CEO;
the other is a sharp decline in online advertising revenues that supported
the ISPs' business model. With 3.7 million active users between Juno and
NetZero, the companies are likely to stay around, but most likely with a
tiered pricing model, perhaps allowing low-volume users free access and
charging for a premium service with fewer ads and no limits.
Weight-Loss Gizmos Sprout At New Year
As sure as there are new year's resolutions, there will be inventions to
help achieve them with minimal effort. In the current crop:
A Wisconsin man received patent 6,024,678 for a non-electric vacuum cleaner
and exercise machine. You strap a tank on your back and attach special
shoes with bellows and springs, that are attached to the tank with tubes.
When you walk, or dance, or hop or whatever, the action of the bellows sucks
dirt from foot level up to the tank. It is "nearly silent during operation"
except for puffing and grunting sounds of the operator.
Three guys from Montana got patent 6,042,508 for a dumbbell that is also a
TV-VCR remote, to deal with the situation in which "valuable exercise time
is lost" while changing channels. Evidently it differs from a remote taped
to a brick in some way that makes it new.
A New York woman has invented a stairstep machine you can use in the shower.
And Yoshikata Yamamoto of Japan received patent 6,118,064 for "a karaoke
machine that can calculate and announce how many calories have been consumed
for each song." It can be set to total an entire evening's warbles, or
individual songs. However, it should probably not be used while vacuuming
in the shower.
~sprin5
Mon, Jan 15, 2001 (19:15)
#7
More hot items from the awesome ronks
More Bits On The Way
According to a study at UC Berkeley, people and computers will create more
data in the next three years than in the preceding 300,000. Admittedly, the
study was sponsored by data storage company EMC, and the definition of data
is unclear (remember Thoreau's observation "Much is published, little
printed"). What is the resolution of a cave painting, anyway? EMC itself
opines that storage expenses will amount to 70 percent of IT department
budgets by 2005, and that the volume it will be able to fit into "shoebox-
size devices" by then (though they don't say how many boxes or what size
shoes) would in the 1950's have required "an area the size of Argentina".
SDMI Hacked By Princeton Prof; Sshhh...
Edward Felten, a witness at the Microsoft trial, accepted a music industry
challenge to defeat the technology used in the Secure Music Digital
Initiative, and he says he and his colleagues have succeeded. But he can't
say how, because the federal Digital Millennium Copyright Act makes it a
crime to "offer to the public" a means of evading such security algorithms.
So you'll just have to take his word for it.
Another Aggregator Packs It In
MobShop is getting out of consumer group buying, to focus solely on B2B.
With its announcement continues the rout that led Mercata, Priceline, and
LetsBuyIt to fold. An analyst observes of the carnage "Consumers never
warmed to the aggregated buy concept; what was missing was a better sense of
affiliation, like group buying for Harley riders." I wonder if cheapbeer.com
is taken.
Waldos Patented
Reader of Robert Heinlein stories should remember those; actually I thought
the gizmos already existed, but anyway two southern California inventors got
patent 6,049,327 for "a glove made of closely fitting elastic embedded with
motion sensors" that transmits hand and finger movement to a computer for
processing.
~mikeg
Tue, Jan 23, 2001 (16:15)
#8
FuckedCompany.com is a good place for dot-com tales of woe. Very enjoyable :) The Register also has good tech-biz news.
~mikeg
Tue, Jan 23, 2001 (16:19)
#9
Oh, and the perfect anti-dote to all dot-com craziness is this site.
~sprin5
Tue, Jan 23, 2001 (20:03)
#10
Dot coms are biting the dust, sure, but the internet industry as a whole is still soaring. The big growth is in existing companies use of the internet, not companies that are only an internet presence or website but no backroom to back it up.
~terry
Wed, Jan 24, 2001 (08:55)
#11
Im on my palm pilot 183 at Cameron Rd. Lucent laid off a lot of folks. anb netpliance is in danger of being delisted by the nasdaq .im at a stoplight listening to am radio.
practicing my palm speedwriting
~mikeg
Wed, Jan 24, 2001 (12:59)
#12
nerd
:-)
~sprin5
Wed, Jan 24, 2001 (14:46)
#13
Those stoplights get pretty long in the morning, so I whipped out my PalmPilot and tryied a new browser program I downeloaded the day before.
~sprin5
Fri, Mar 23, 2001 (08:58)
#14
Mister Kerbango, He Dead
Seeking to hack its way out of the heart of financial darkness (OK, enough
of the Joseph Conrad shtick) 3Com plans major cutbacks, including the demise
of an "Internet radio device" called Kerbango, and Audrey, "the company's
short-lived kitchen-countertop Internet appliance". 3Com also plans a third
round of layoffs in a year and de-emphasis of its high-speed modem line in
order to concentrate on corporate and wireless networking equipment. CEO
Bruce Claflin says he expects to reduce the company's operating losses to
zero, or even turn a profit, by May; losses have been running about $225
million a quarter.
from ronks@well.com
Ron Sipherd
~sprin5
Fri, Mar 23, 2001 (08:58)
#15
More from ronks, the tidbitmaster.
Bogus VeriSign Digital Certificates Issued - By VeriSign
An impostor posing as a Microsoft employee tricked VeriSign into issuing two
digital certificates that would enable him to electronically sign files,
including executable programs, as if they originated from Microsoft. The
certificates were issued on January 29 and 30, and users are advised to
watch out for them since no valid MS certificates were issued on those days.
Microsoft hopes to make available shortly a program to check for them which
can be downloaded from their Web site. (Or a Web site that claims to be
theirs anyway.) Mahi deSilva, VeriSign's vice president and general manager
of applied trust services says his company can still be relied on because
"we found this problem. We've been very proactive about communicating this
problem to the various authorities." Yeah, right. He also claims "the
person who got the certificates had a sophisticated knowledge of ways to try
to fool VeriSign", perhaps like giving a Seattle phone number.
~mikeg
Sun, Mar 25, 2001 (04:15)
#16
Yes, I heard about that. Most amusing. Makes you wonder how many other digital certificates out there are bogus...
~terry
Thu, May 3, 2001 (15:43)
#17
ronks:
YAWS - Just When You Thought It Was Safe To Go Untethered
Yet Another Wireless Standard has entered the ether derby; Atheros
Communications plans to announce its implementation of 802.11a, which
promises up to 73 megabits per second bandwidth over the 5 gigahertz
frequency. It is not to be confused with the equally euphonious 802.11b
standard, which offers up to 11 Mbits/sec in the 2.4 GHz range, and now
likes to be called "Wi-Fi" in "an effort to sound consumer friendly". The
Standard Formerly Known As 802.11b is said to lead the market despite news
of how easy it is to eavesdrop on. Also in the running is Bluetooth, named
for an obscure Viking but falling behind after Microsoft decided not to
include it in Windows XP. And another called HomeRF, once an Intel entry
but now slipping. (All of these are described as incompatible with one
another, of course.) Continuing, we find another member of the 802.11
family called 802.11G which is faster than and intended to be compatible
with little brother b. Come back here, we're not done yet; Europe shows its
independence with yes, another incompatible standard called HiperLAN, and I
haven't even mentioned the cellular standards 2.5G and 3G, which offer up to
64 Kbits per second. Gentlemen, start your protocols.
Web Radio Stations Shut Down Over Royalties
Clear Channel Communications has stopped streaming the broadcast of 381
radio stations it owns and about 120 others owned by various companies have
followed suit after the AFTRA union notified them its members were entitled
to three times their original fees if commercials they appeared in were
broadcast on the Internet. Another show-stopper is the issue of how much
compensation is due to record companies (that again) under the Digital
Millennium Copyright Act; the Copyright Office has not yet decided what the
law calls for, and payments may be retroactive to 1998. Until the setback,
Web radio was growing rapidly from 56 stations in 1996 to 5500 this spring.
Dot-Com Bust, The Movie
A film-making roommate of the CEO of GovWorks.com, an Internet startup that
went from zero to 250 employees in one year and from 250 to zero the next,
has teamed up with D. A. Pennebaker to produce "Startup.com" based on her
voluminous cinema-verite recordings of the birth and death of the company.
Release date is scheduled for May 11.
Digital Communications Patented
Patent number 6,222,465 was awarded to Senthil Kumar and Jakub Segen for a
system of cameras and software "for using free-form hand gestures to command
a computer". OK, who out there has *not* from time to time used free-form
hand gestures directed at their computer? Didn't think so. Well, now it
will supposedly read and interpret the command, though it may display "I'm
sorry sir but I can't physically do that".
http://www.blug.linux.no/rfc1149/
MarchFirst Meets Chapter Seven
After it filed last month for a Chapter 11 reorganization under bankruptcy
court protection, the Internet consulting firm has been selling off assets
to the point where a major unsecured creditor threatened to hold its
officers and directors personally liable if they continued the fire sale.
So the CFO has quit and the company has decided to liquidate itself formally
under a Chapter 7 proceeding; it has already let go 3,450 employees or half
its staff.
Quote Of The Day
Federal Reserve Board chairman Alan Greenspan, addressing winners of an
economic-policy contest for high school students: "Remember, if you are
practicing to be a central banker - you do not smile."
Loudcloud Lowers Volume
The company had 74 employees in January, rose to 629 last month, and will
boot 122 as the result of a cash shortage. It plans to seek additional
savings "through the reduction of a variety of headcount-related and
discretionary expense items". How great to work for a company that refers
to its staff as "headcount-related items".
Micron Out Of PC Business
Micron has apparently tried and failed to find a buyer for its PC division,
unprofitable despite its $1 billion a year revenue; it wants to concentrate
on Web site operations. (I thought it was also a big chip maker, but that's
not mentioned.) Anyway they dumped the division on a turnaround group to
spiff up and resell; Micron paid them $70 million to take it away, but may
recoup if the operation is later sold at a profit.
Dell Beats Apple In Education Market
But Steve Jobs is fighting back, with a new light (4.9 lbs.) laptop for
$1300 (a photo shows him tossing it in the air, Not A Good Example for bored
students) and a plan to introduce wireless networks in schools for use with
portable computers.
Microsoft Exec Denounces Open Source
Admittedly seeing the open-source movement represented by Linux and the like
as a threat to its hopes of moving up into the corporate server market,
Microsoft SVP Craig Mundie says the company is planning "a broad campaign"
to discredit it (and sow FUD). Their primary target of opportunity is the
General Public License, or GPL, which is one aspect of open-source and
requires the licensee to make freely available the source code of any
software created using licensed open programs. (E.g., if you write a utility
based on say Linux you would share the source code for it). Mr. Mundie says
"the viral aspect of the GPL poses a threat to the intellectual property of
any organization making use of it"; this is a follow-up to remarks by Jim
Allchin of MS that legislators should be aware of the threat that free
distribution of code poses to software innovation (and should presumably
outlaw it or something). Mr. Mundie seems to want it both ways; he says
Allchin is right *and* that MS already practices "the best aspects of the
open-source model" because its "shared-source philosophy" allows hardware
and software developers to see the code (with perhaps a few restrictions).
Besides the dreaded GPL which Eric Raymond of the Open Source Initiative
says is the one controversial aspect of the movement, Mr. Mundie also cites
the horrors of Unix which has split into different incompatible versions due
to the lack of an iron proprietary fist. His unspoken target corporate
target seems to be IBM, which has embraced Linux; an IBM VP replied "If we
thought this [GPL] was a trap we wouldn't be doing it, and as you know we
have a lot of lawyers."
Scientologists Sue
It's not that again. The co-founder of the Earthlink ISP is a member of the
CoS, and a bunch of people in the next pew claim he bilked them out of over
$35 million with fraudulent investment schemes like a day-trading program
that would produce 60%-plus annual returns. Reed Slatkin is accused of
collecting over $300 million from them; it seems to have disappeared, since
his attorney, a "Santa Monica criminal lawyer" (I think that means here that
he handles criminal cases), says he will "file for financial reorganization"
this week, which sounds like bankruptcy.
VC Investments Plummet
A precipitous drop in venture capital funding for startups occurred between
the last quarter of 2000 and the first quarter of 2001 according to surveys.
One shows the figure falling from $17 billion to $10 B, another puts it at
$20.5 B down to $12 B, about a forty percent decline in three months.
Analysts are now starting to think of the year 2000 spending as an "anomaly"
that will skew comparisons for the future.
Another Online Ad Agency Tanks
Hook Media was founded three years ago, and expanded from Boston to Atlanta
and New York; at the end of last year, they were planning to expand to
Chicago and LA. No more. They just filed for Chapter 11, but their
reorganization consists of selling the company's assets to a larger firm.
The company's CEO blamed "one of our larger clients having financial
difficulties"; candidates are PriceWaterhouseCoopers, Blue Cross of
Massachusetts, and EMC, a disk-drive maker. Things are so bad according to
the article that when another ad agency had phone problems for a day,
clients who couldn't reach them figured they had gone out of business.
:e
:e
.
~mikeg
Sun, May 6, 2001 (11:49)
#18
Web Radio Stations Shut Down Over Royalties
The DMCA is the biggest screw-up your country ever made, sadly.
Dot-Com Bust, The Movie
Mmmm...I'll enjoy watching that go Straight-to-Video ;-)))
Things are so bad according to
the article that when another ad agency had phone problems for a day,
clients who couldn't reach them figured they had gone out of business
*huge grins*
~terry
Thu, May 10, 2001 (00:25)
#19
Dragon Systems Seeks Comeback
AD 2000 was The Year Of The Dragon, but it was not a good one for the maker
of speech-recognition software. Founders James and Janet Baker sold their
company to rival Lernout & Hauspie for $600 million in stock. Unfortunately
L&H stock has not been the wisest of investments; Messrs. Lernout and
Hauspie have been ordered not to leave the country (Belgium in this case)
while charges of fraud and stock manipulation are investigated, L&H has
filed for bankruptcy, and the price of a share has declined a bit; from
$72.50 to 63 cents. Dragon Systems as a subsidiary has basically been
gutted, with 2/3 of its staff let go, development at a standstill, and
tumbleweeds blowing down the corridors past the empty cubicles. What's left
of it may be sold off to raise money to pay L&H's debts; the Bakers have
hired David Boies to either retrieve the available bits of the company, or
to get the earlier merger reversed. Chances aren't too good at this point.
Napster, Meet Aimster
The new service is also a form of peer-to-peer file sharing, but the
software from Above Peer Inc. is for users of AOL Instant Messaging (hence
the name) to swap files of all kinds including music, and it lacks a central
directory which was sort of Napster's legal Achilles heel. The company is
pre-emptively suing the RIAA for a declaration that the service does not
violate copyright laws, after the RIAA threatened to sue them.
Digital Signature ID To Be Built Into Microsoft Products
Windows, Office, and other MS software will include a user-identification
facility called Identrus, developed by a consortium of banks. Identrus
relies on digital signatures for users; the banks will issue the electronic
identity certificates. The software has been available for a while, but
incorporating it into an application is said to be made easier with the MS
adoption of the standard.
"IBM Develops New Method for Making LCDs"
Reuters (05/03/01)
IBM has developed a new way to position the liquid crystals used in liquid
crystal displays, a feat IBM scientist Praveen Chaudhari says is the "Holy
Grail" of flat-panel display manufacturing. In the new technique, atoms
are beamed at a sheet of carbon to line up the atoms in rows, upon which
liquid crystal particles attach. The older method, developed 95 years ago,
required using velvet to put the atoms in place, resulting in flaws
difficult to detect. IBM says the new method will result in lower
production costs and better picture resolution.
RLX (formerly Rocketlogix) are announcing a new line of Transmeta
Crusoe-based low-power webservers today, and IBM will resell them.
The RLX can pack up to 24 *complete web servers* into a 3U chassis, which
needs only eight fans total. The servers come on hot-pluggable blades
(Linux blades will reportedly run about $1,500 - 2,200 and Windows from
1,700 - 2,400, while the chassis will be around $2,600), and will be
available either pre-configured or build-to-order.
Transmeta's on a mini-roll; Toshiba's new Libretto laptop models will use
Crusoe CPUs as well. OTOH the company's stock sank 24% yesterday, when the
IPO lockup period expired and people were free to sell shares.
Reuters says 675 cuts at Exodus, 15% of workforce.
http://dailynews.yahoo.com/h/nm/20010509/tc/tech_exodus_dc.html
US Home Internet Access Declines
In a first since records began to be kept on this in 1980, the number of
American households with Internet access declined in the quarter ending
March 31, according to Telecommunications Reports International. The reason
given is "the failure of the free Internet service provider as a viable
business model"; subscribers to free ISPs fell over 19 percent, leading to
an overall drop of 0.25% to 68.5 million US home subscribers of all ISPs.
EMachines For Sale
The company as well as the hardware. The PC maker says it is the third-
largest seller of home computers in retail stores, but its plans to offer
ads on inexpensive machines and sell Internet services have not worked out
as hoped, so it's looking for a buyer.
Cray In The Black
Supercomputer maker Cray Inc. showed a quarterly net profit of $3 million,
compared with last year's first quarter loss of $8 million.
Red Sky At Night
Execs at Internet ad agency Red Sky seem to be making a dash for the exits.
Evidently within days of one another, the CEO and chairman, the chief
financial officer, the SVP for sales, the SVP for client services and
production, and an EVP with the Orwellian title of "chief people officer"
have all quit. Remaining amidst the wreckage are the "chief strategic
officer" and the "chief technology officer"; and the "chief operating
officer and president", who has been promoted to acting CEO. The fate of
the Chief Officer In Charge Of Fancy Titles and Silly Walks was undisclosed.
~terry
Fri, May 11, 2001 (00:47)
#20
ronks@well.com:
Jury Finds Rambus Patent Fraud
The holder of patents on high-speed memory sued Infineon Technologies for
infringement, and Infineon countersued. A Federal court jury found that
Rambus had obtained patents based on "information from an industry standards
group"; the judge in the case thereupon dismissed the patent claims. Rambus
says it will appeal, though generally a jury's findings of fact are not
reversed by higher courts.
Microstrategy's Auditor Settles; Avant's Is Fired
PriceWaterhouseCoopers has agreed to pay $51 million plus interest for
certifying the company's financial reports in 1999, before they read in a
Forbes article that the numbers were wrong. They were restated from a $13
million profit to a $34 M loss; earlier years' claimed profits also turned
to losses under inspection. The company made headlines in March 2000 when
its CEO Michael Saylor announced plans to fund an Internet university to
provide "free education for everyone on earth forever". Mr. Saylor learned
a lot himself since then, as the price of a share sank from $333 to $1.75.
Meanwhile in Fremont CA, KPMG warned the board of software maker Avant that
it lacked controls to determine the accuracy of its financial statements.
Avant then fired KPMG as its auditor; a spokesman says there is "no
connection" between the two events.
~terry
Mon, May 14, 2001 (15:17)
#21
ronks:
Intel Gets Bigger
Within a couple of months, they will start increasing the size of the
"wafer", the round silicon-plus plate that circuits are etched on, from 200
millimeters diameter to 300 mm (roughly from 8 inches across to 12). The
greater size will permit almost twice as many chips to be produced per
wafer, saving an estimated 30 percent in manufacturing costs. Intel will
need to save: costs to them for the new technology are estimated at $7.5
billion in capital expense plus $4.2 B in R&D (over an unstated period of
time). Wafer-size history: in the 1960's it was about the size of a quarter;
Intel pioneered the move to 150-mm wafers in the 1980's, and IBM led the way
to 200 mm in 1994. This time the leader is Siemens/Infineon and Motorola in
a venture called Semiconductor300. The leader usually has to pick up the
tab for the initial fabrication technology, which is probably why Intel and
IBM were happy to let someone else go first this time.
Internet Gets Bigger
Cisco Systems is expected to announce today the commercial availability of
new router software to handle IP version 6. The current protocol, IPv4,
merely provides for about 4 billion unique Internet addresses; with every
subatomic particle from here to Alpha Centauri needing its own address, that
is plainly inadequate. Kludges like Network Address Translation (NAT) have
staved off address-space disaster so far but Cisco estimates it will hit the
wall in about 9 years. Implementation of IPv6 is another matter; one analyst
notes that "until the ISPs feel the pain, they aren't going to do anything".
Internet Gets Useful
Until now, the global network has merely offered information and the promise
of wealth, knowledge, and sex (of the pictorial variety anyway). However
patent 6,229,430, awarded to Mary Smith Dewey of Dallas, offers to use the
Internet to provide sleep! The miracle device consists of a clock, a
keypad, a modem, and a CPU chip. How it works is you program it for things
like traffic and weather conditions that would make you get up earlier or
later than usual (which you have to tell the gizmo, along with how much
earlier or later, etc.) Let's say it's snowing, evidently a frequent problem
in Dallas since that's the example Ms. Dewey cites. The invention would
wake you at a predefined earlier time so you could plow your way into work -
except suppose that means the airport is closed and your flight has been
cancelled, this machine would know not to rouse you for the futile effort
and let you snooze in some more. Similarly it would (somehow) monitor
traffic reports to determine the amount of delay on Highway ###, to see if
it should nudge you up a bit sooner. Sound good? Well, there is a dark
price to be paid for this blessing: the diabolical Ms. Dewey notes in her
application that "advertising may be substituted for the alarm signal".
E-Caps Offered
If you think the drive for more Internet address space is pressing, it's
nothing compared to man's quest for a new place to advertise (see clock
story above). A firm from media center Winnipeg, Manitoba offers hubcaps
that don't move and you can print ads on. Well, of course they move when
the car does, don't be silly, I mean they don't appear to rotate but instead
stay with one side up so the ad remains readable to dogs and very short
people stepping off the curb. They're 17 inches in diameter, 50 LA taxicabs
are presently so adorned with an option for another 150, and they are
apparently called E-Caps because that sounds trendy in Winnipeg.
~terry
Thu, May 17, 2001 (08:12)
#22
Brits Buy Island
London-based Cable and Wireless just bought San Francisco Web host Digital
Island for $291 million cash plus taking over $49 M of their debt. C&W can
afford it, with $4.2 billion in cash from recent divestments.
AMD Numbering Leap
The chip-maker announced the Athlon 4 for laptops. Rival Intel's Pentium 4
is presently available only for desktop computers and is not expected to be
offered for mobile uses till 2002. This remarkable feat was accomplished by
jumping from the Athlon straight to the Athlon 4; there is no Athlon 2 or 3.
It is not clear if Intel's next chip will be the Pentium 99999999999999999.
Rogue Domains At Large
Still on the name game, Prodigy has partnered with a registry called New.net
to offer their own top-level domains like .free, .shop, and .sports that are
not approved by ICANN. Since nobody else recognizes them, you have to
either use special software or one of their partner ISPs.
IBM Claims Openness
They say their new release of middleware (DB2, Lotus, Tivoli, and WebSphere)
will follow "open standards" that permit connection to other software that
plays by the same rules. So, DB2 is middleware now; who'd a thunk it.
ronks
~terry
Fri, May 18, 2001 (08:27)
#23
ronks again!
Microsoft Appoints CXO
A new title has been created to join the ranks of Chief Executive Officer,
Chief Operating, Chief Financial, etc. Robbie Bach, described as the
company's "Chief Xbox Officer", announced that the new game machine would be
available in the US starting November 8, in time for the Christmas rush,
listing at $300. They expect to have ~700,000 ready to put under the tree
by that time, with 15-20 games written to run on them.
That Ain't Chopped Liver
George Shaheen, the former Webvan head (CWO? Big Cheese?) who lasted only 18
months at the "beleaguered company", will receive $375,000 a year for the
rest of his life in accordance with a deal made when he joined the online
grocer in 1999. The company says it will "honor our commitment", though he
may end up taking those clams in the form of stale Oreos if the company
doesn't pick up soon.
~terry
Fri, May 18, 2001 (08:29)
#24
ronks@well.com
Ron Sipherd
Host of the Business and Technology (biztech or bt) conference on the WELL.
Author of WDL, a Windows batch facility for Well access
Day job:
automation and communications project management
software license drafting and negotiation
Ron has given us permission to quote his great business tidbits, and it's a great service. Thanks Ron!
!
~terry
Wed, May 23, 2001 (13:45)
#25
ronks:
Speechless
Lernout & Hauspie Speech Products plans to either sell its "speech and
language technology" to satisfy creditors who are owed about $500 million,
or spin off a new company owning the assets to the creditors. L&H's staff
and the remnants of Dragon Systems will be included in the divestiture; what
will actually remain of L&H afterwards is unclear. Some swivel chairs and
filing cabinets, maybe.
CA Boils The Books Some More
Computer Associates has gone to "pro forma" accounting in publishing its
financial reports, which basically means they set the rules. Since they
also have to publish figures in accordance with the generally accepted
accounting principles (GAAP) mandated by the SEC, the comparison shows how
they are trying to make themselves look good. The company also acknowledges
that its new figures include $658 million in revenue they credited twice,
and that their pro forma rules allow them to book revenue from a long-term
contract in any quarter they choose, perhaps to beef up a weak one just
ahead of a new stock offering. The figures below are in millions, for the
fiscal years ended March 31:
This Last Last Last
Year's Year's Year's Year's
Profit Profit Sales Sales
Pro Forma 931 787 5600 5300
GAAP 95 1800 4200 6100
~terry
Thu, May 24, 2001 (11:40)
#26
ronks never fails to come up with interesting stuff.
This guy is amazing.
Where Home Pages Go To Die
We all know that the Graveyard Of The Atlantic is, um, somewhere in the
Atlantic Ocean most likely, but how many know about the Museum of E-Failure?
Where the corpses of boo.com, eve.com, Kozmo, PlanetRx and others remain
like Lenin preserved for eternity (in Internet time this is about a week,
though the MoE-F may continue at least till the owner loses interest).
Archaeologists of e-commerce may visit
according to the article for defunct pages and some that are put in a
"protective zoo" or e-hospice against their impending demise, such as
APBNews.com and NBCi.com. The creator of the sepulchre is a Yonkers
programmer who once worked for Time's Pathfinder service and observes if he
didn't save dead Web sites, "there's no proof I actually did anything."
Just Add Water
Borrowing a technique from mainframes, IBM has introduced a water cooler to
some of its laptop models. Not the kind people stood around in 50's office
movies to trade gossip but a little tiny water-filled radiator inside the
case. Now that laptop processors generate over 25 watts, using them on
one's lap without a padded apron has become uncomfortable if not hazardous,
so the higher heat-carrying capacity of water over air is expected to make
the units more efficient at dissipating waste therms. The radiators are
powered solely by convection, so no fan is required and they run quieter
than their air-breathing cousins. IBM also claims the amount of water used
in their A20, A21, and T20 models is so small that you don't need to add
antifreeze in the winter.
Razorfish Lawsuit Dropped
A Federal court judge in New York dismissed a class-action suit against the
Internet consulting firm that claimed it inflated share prices with false
info on i-Cube, a company it bought out two years ago. Plaintiffs may still
proceed I think but without the class-action big bucks incentive.
Dell Goes To War
James Vanderslice, Dell's president (and presumably commander-in-chief),
says the PC maker is in a "full-scale price war to increase market share".
Prices for components are falling about 1 percent a week, and the benefits
will be passed on to buyers within 3 days he says.
~terry
Fri, May 25, 2001 (14:59)
#27
ronks, the busy techie:
Be Very Afraid
Buried in an announcement that Lockheed and Microsoft will collaborate on
bids for government e-mail and e-commerce systems was the statement that
Microsoft is developing the software for the US Navy's "next nuclear-powered
aircraft carrier". When that baby BSODs, look out. Maybe they will station
it in Madagascar. (Maybe it will just go there by mistake and run aground.)
Covad Sinking
The ISP delayed release of its annual financial statement for three months,
for unspecified reasons. One of them may have been to put off the news that
they lost $1.4 billion in the year; they also reduced previously published
numbers for earlier quarters. They say their auditors doubt if they can
remain in business; a billion here, a billion there, pretty soon people
begin to wonder.
~terry
Thu, May 31, 2001 (22:16)
#28
ronks:
Outpost Bought Out
New Hampshire based PC Connection (is that the company with the raccoon in
its ads?) has bought the former Cyberian Outpost in a stock swap for an
undetermined amount based on a formula involving the Outpost's sales in the
next three months and the average price of PCC stock for the ten days before
the close of the deal.
TLC and Dragon Deal
The Learning Company of Novato will sell speech products Dragon Naturally-
Speaking and L&H's Voice Express in the US and Canada, under a deal that
requires bankruptcy court approval. The two products are said to represent
"the majority of the $35 million retail market for speech recognition
software".
~terry
Mon, Jun 4, 2001 (16:49)
#29
Windows XP A Hacker's Paradise?
The UC San Diego Supercomputer Center reports the number of "distributed
denial of service attacks" in which a hacker takes over other PCs and uses
them as zombies to flood a target site with spurious but time- and
bandwidth-consuming requests is growing. During a three-week period in
February, the center recorded 13,000 such attacks against 5,000 sites, with
about 40 active at any time; while 90 percent lasted less than an hour, 2%
extended for days or weeks. The center estimates it recorded only about
half of the actual number of such attacks, which have numerous variants and
for which instructions are available on the Web. Steve Gibson of Gibson
Research suggests the new Net-centric Windows XP will create "a powerful
network communications standard that attackers could widely exploit",
especially with more users online all the time on DSL and cable modems. (The
article doesn't say if Mr. G thinks the XP standards are vulnerable or if
the popularity of Windows will just offer a large pool of similar targets.)
The manager of Microsoft's Security Response Center says XP will have built-
in features to prevent the zombization of PCs running it.
Microsoft and AOL Negotiate - Or Don't
Depending on who you ask and the time of day, corporate titans MS and AOL
either are or are not talking about settling their licensing and legal
concerns with each other. At one time last week it looked like both parties
had given up over Microsoft's demand that AOL not challenge it over
antitrust issues but they seem to have cooled off and started talking again.
Talks began when AOL's license to use Internet Explorer expired a few months
ago, but they have lots of other items on the menu. Viz., AOL wants a
featured spot on the Windows XP desktop and needs to come to terms with IE
even though it owns Netscape (a Web browser popular back in the twentieth
century). AOL also wants to be a player, or at least not a victim, of
Microsoft's new .Net and Hailstorm consumer-commerce initiatives. MS has a
wish list of its own, of course, besides an antitrust "get out of jail free"
Monopoly card. They want to pry open the clamshell known as AOL Instant
Messaging standards so MSN Messenger can interact with it, and they want to
add Windows Media Player to RealPlayer and other formats supported by AOL.
AOL recently dropped plans for a direct assault on the Windows citadel with
the "AOL PC", a cheap computer running GNU-Linux with a graphic user
interface by the now-defunct Eazel Inc. software developer.
"zombization" I like that.
ronks
~terry
Tue, Jun 5, 2001 (17:59)
#30
ronks again:
So MS has not actually described those "other security measures that prevent
DDoS clients from taking advantage of the openness of their sockets code"?
That's expecting people to take a lot on faith, which is not a good way to
run a security operation IMHO.
Napster Near Deal With Record Companies
MusicNet is a consortium of AOL Time Warner, BMG, EMI, and RealNetworks.
They are said to be working out the details of a contract to license their
music to Napster in Real format so long as Napster maintains some specified
security level to ensure consumers don't hear notes they haven't paid for.
The deal would also bar Napster from cutting a deal with MusicNet's enemy
Duet, a Sony-Vivendi Universal partnership. A potential obstacle is the
songwriters, who "want higher royalty rates on digital music than CD's."
Data Storage Standards Developed
Yet another consortium, this time a subset of hardware makers called the
Storage Networking Industry Association, is putting together a set of
standards to let users mix storage equipment on a system. Sun, who has not
been invited to participate for some reason, says they have no details on
the plan. Neither did the author of the story evidently, which is pretty
vague on what the need is or how it will be met.
Microsoft Tries To Enlist Press Against FSF
Seeking to use reporters as a sort of fifth column against the Free Software
Foundation, the company sent them three pages of questions it wanted them to
ask Richard Stallman who gave a talk at the NYU B-school last week. Sample
loaded question: "Does the all-or-nothing viral approach of the GPL [the
FSF's framework license] severely limit business flexibility?" It's unclear
if MS also wanted reporters to ask Mr. Stallman if he had stopped having
carnal relations with barnyard animals.
Quote Of The Day
Not exactly a response to the planted MS queries but still a nice riposte,
FSF general counsel and Columbia law professor Eben Moglen: "Microsoft,
which used to say all the time that the software business was ruthlessly
competitive, is now matched against a competitor whose model of production
and distribution is so much better that Microsoft stands no chance of
prevailing in the long run. They're simply trying to scare people out of
dealing with a competitor they can't buy, can't intimidate, and can't stop."
Incidentally, the IDC research firm reports that users of GNU-Linux rose
from 1000 nine years ago to 9 million last year.
~terry
Wed, Jun 6, 2001 (14:16)
#31
New Covad CEO Fights Doom
In what the article colorfully calls "a desperate attempt to stave off
financial doom", Covad appointed a new president. He has to deal with an
unexpected $1.44 billion loss last year (a billion here, a billion there,
where did it all go), a still-pending delay in announcing last quarter's
results, and a possible Nasdaq delisting. Doom indeed.
Amazon.com puter
The former bookstore that now sells toys, hard drives, and air compressors
will offer PCs in a few months. Unlike books, Amazon won't maintain an
inventory of them but will instead have a distributor ship them. This
"virtual inventory" approach hasn't worked out for other retailers like
Buy.com, but it's been a winner for make-to-order manufacturers like Dell.
Microsoft Takes Aim At AIM
AOL Instant Messaging is the target of the new Windows Messenger due to ship
with Windows XP this fall. MS says it will allow the sharing of documents
(like NetMeeting?), transmission of audio and video files, and even remote
access to other PC's. Copyright issues? Security concerns? Hahahahaha...
ronks, of course
~terry
Wed, Jun 6, 2001 (14:17)
#32
Sounds like Windows Messenger is a repackaged Netmeeting.
~terry
Fri, Jun 8, 2001 (12:02)
#33
Virtual Storage Indeed
Myspace.com had 7.5 million registered and 2.2 M active users for its free
online storage service when it vanished from cyberspace four days ago. The
CEO of the SF firm says it gave users e-mail notice six days earlier, but
some say they saw nothing until they tried to visit the site and 404'ed.
While Xdrive, i-drive, and FreeDrive remain, rival Driveway shut down four
months ago for consumers, to focus on paid storage for businesses.
Baby Domains Offered
A domain name registry offers a free domain name for infants born at Redwood
City's Sequoia Hospital through the end of the year. Presumably some older
relative needs to contact www.namezero.com to take advantage of the offer
unless the neonate is exceptionally precocious, though the hospital is in a
high-tech region. Jason.com and heather.com are probably taken already, so
if you want to be sure you might name it Torquemada or something.
Chips Drop
The Semiconductor Industry Association says global chip sales should fall
14% from last year to a piddling $175 billion, as buyers work off a glut
from last year in a slow economy. Still not all is gloom: the SIA says 2002
sales should be up 21%, and another 25% in 2003. Perhaps after hearing the
news, TI shut two Dallas plants with 1800 workers for one to three weeks.
ronks. Who else?
~terry
Sat, Jun 9, 2001 (00:24)
#34
ronks (Ron Sipherd):
AT&T Dumps Microsoft
Despite a $5 billion investment by Microsoft, AT&T has abandoned plans to
use their software for interactive TV. For 18 months or more, the hardware
(240,000 DCT-5000 set-top units) has been sitting in warehouses waiting for
MS to develop the code to run it, and it apparently is still not ready; AT&T
may convert the boxes to run as simple digital TV units and abandon the
interactive concept altogether, to promote instead a variety of Internet
services to cable boxes, PCs, and other gizmos. Microsoft's $5 B investment
is now worth $1.1 B; boo hoo. Meanwhile Steve Ballmer says he has found a
customer for his company's interactive TV software, namely TV Cabo Portugal.
Well, it's a start...
NetZero, Juno Merge
Described as "the two biggest providers of free Internet access", the ISPs
account for 7 million subscribers, and the combined firm will be the second
largest ISP, after AOL Time Warner. Both companies will become subsidiaries
of a new corporation called United Online Inc.
~MarciaH
Sat, Jun 9, 2001 (00:44)
#35
Wow!! that will be impressive . Had heard that AT&T was not going in with MS on that interactive TV deal. I don't think Bill Gates will be filing for welfare this week, however!
~terry
Mon, Jun 18, 2001 (17:07)
#36
From the article: "In a conference call yesterday [June 15] with stock
analysts, Mr. Roth [Joe Roth, Nortel CEO] revealed a troubling finding for
Nortel's business and the industry in general. The company calculates that
Internet traffic, which has climbed sharply in recent years, declined
slightly in the most recent quarter, Mr. Roth said."
What If They Built A Network And No One Came?
In the 1870's after the Civil War, the easy availability of cheap capital
led to a rapid expansion in railroad track mileage in the absence of
corresponding demand. Often the entrepreneurs built lines to towns and paid
no attention to how customers would get goods between the station and their
homes and businesses. After a few years, the bubble burst and it took
nearly a decade for the market and the economy to recover. Fast-forward 130
years: companies have spent $35 billion to lay 100 million miles of fiber-
optic lines around the world even though only about 10 percent of US
residences have high-speed links. Only 5% of installed fiber is "lit" and
the remainder is unused. So far this year, investors have lost $12.8
billion on the default of $13.9 B of telecommunications bonds, over twice
what they lost in all of last year. Those who do not remember the past etc.
AOL-Microsoft Talks Collapse
The parties don't even agree on what they disagree about. AOL says the only
area unresolved was MS insistence that AOL drop RealPlayer for Windows Media
Player, while MS says AOL wanted everything, gave up nothing, and "wanted to
sue us over XP". Microsoft's goals in the negotiations seem to be getting
AOL to agree not to raise antitrust issues in litigation and its cooperation
in the rollout of Windows XP, with its many bundled consumer features. Since
MS seems to be gearing up to do to AOL with XP and its "Hailstorm" project
what MS Office did to WordPerfect and Lotus, it's perhaps not surprising
that AOL declined to play ball (or play dead?). Besides agreeing not to sue
MS over antitrust issues (which is a pretty major concession when you don't
know what they're going to do) and ending AOL's arrangement with MS rival
RealPlayer, Microsoft wanted concessions on AOL Instant Messaging; and it's
not clear that MS really had that much to offer in return if AOL is willing
to fight back for its turf instead of seeking accommodation.
The End Of An Era
Autodesk is reported to have stopped holding its free Friday afternoon beer
parties. Sigh. One employee reacted by comparing CEO Carol Bartz's $1.5
million annual salary and $15.3 million stock options with the estimated
$532 weekly cost of 30 pizza, a keg, 6 bottles of wine and 8 bags of chips.
Quote Of The Day
"The market has had the worst correction it's had in a generation, and yet
it's still not cheap."
- Chief Investment Officer Kevin Parke at MFS: noting that Cisco, down from
$80 a share to $16.65, is still trading at 60 times its expected earnings.
Still not cheap! Wow!
AOL and Msft at it still.
~mikeg
Mon, Jun 18, 2001 (18:12)
#37
Another 10,000 jobs are going at Nortel:
Audience: Nortel Networks Employees
This morning we issued an important announcement regarding our outlook and the steps we are taking to continue to align our business to a severe economic and industry downturn and what is a period of profound adjustment for our customers.
As we indicated in our announcement, we believe that this downturn will be protracted. We should fully recognize how difficult this period will be. The six priorities in our "Alignment Plan" reflect the seriousness of the situation that we, and our customers and other market participants, find ourselves in. We must continue to:
1. Accelerate our cost reduction and reset to "break even" at current business levels;
2. Return to positive cash flow by management of expenses, inventories, capital and receivables;
3. Focus business around core growth areas and exit/dispose of/transition our ownership in others;
4. Retain employees by implementing initiatives such as the Stock Option Exchange;
5. Target top customers and direct sales opportunities for incremental and new revenue and ensure superior customer satisfaction; and
6. Deliver on our key product initiatives targeting high-growth markets.
As I indicated today, and in our town-hall of last week, we are making good progress against this "Alignment Plan." The programs that we have implemented since the beginning of the year are expected to result in excess of US$3 billion in savings on an annualized basis. We have more work to do, but this is a good start.
We have thus far notified approximately 20,000 employees. Sadly, due to the protracted downturn, we will be eliminating another 10,000 positions as we continue to align with the market. We will move as quickly as we can with the aim of having this completed by the end of the third quarter.
Despite the times, Nortel Networks remains one of the best-positioned companies in our industry. Our leadership bench-strength and employees are among the best in the world. We have a world-class portfolio of solutions that lead the market today and we are on track to bring the next generation of solutions to market. Our sales and technical teams are lined up against the top service providers and are focused on delivering a superior customer experience. The challenge before us is clear: execute our "Alignment Plan" and emerge from the severe downturn and this period of adjustment as a strongly positioned company.
I want to thank you all, along with our shareholders and suppliers, for the support we are receiving during this very difficult period. I do not underestimate the toll it is taking on you and your families, and I want you to be assured that we are doing everything we can to get through this period of alignment as fast as we can.
By my retirement in April, my goal is to have Nortel Networks returned to profitability and positioned as the undisputed leader in our target markets and with the customers we serve. Although we will continue to face a challenging market environment for the near term, I am personally committed to building on our leadership, re-establishing our momentum, and getting our realignment completed.
Thank you,
John Roth
~mikeg
Mon, Jun 18, 2001 (18:13)
#38
Dotcom casualties litter skid row
Associated Press has uncovered evidence to the contrary after visiting the soup kitchens and homeless shelters that lie on the flip side of the American dream. Depressed database programmers and the like have joined drug addicts, alcoholics and the mentally ill as society's hard luck cases.
...
more...
~terry
Tue, Jun 26, 2001 (14:26)
#39
Webtoon Firms Not Ready For Prime Time
A couple years ago before the dot-com bubble burst, the Internet was seen
as
a natural vehicle for online animations and other streaming real-time
media
into the home. Alas, Ye Olde Modemme is not fast enough to handle live
video, and there are too few consumers with DSL or cable modems to keep
the
newcomer industry going. With pseudo.com and others fading to black,
only a
couple like Visionary Media and Bullseye Art, both located in Manhattan,
are
still creating products such as the WhirlGirl series featuring a female
geek/superheroine who "prevents an evil media empire from controlling
viewers' lives". The survivors are using their skills with Macromedia
Flash
to create animations for broadcast TV at a fraction of the old cost; the
article says a half-hour episode of "The Simpsons" or "The Smurfs" costs
around $400,000 to animate (not counting the writers admin costs, and
voice
actors); with Flash the estimated average cost is around $160,000. Does
this mean WhirlGirl is about to sell out to the evil media empire? Yes,
probably; the founder and "chief creative officer" of Bullseye says
"Getting
acquired and becoming part of a studio is not the worst thing that could
happen." Perhaps she will start battling evil pre-IPO upstarts.
Fastest Transistor Contest Heats Up
Actually the physical heat production seems to have diminished, with IBM
announcing its new 210-gigahertz(!) transistor needs 50% less power to
run
than current units. A single transistor doesn't seem very useful in
these
days of large-scale circuit integration, but IBM predicts it will form
the
basis of communications devices capable of speeds up to 100 GHz within
two
years. A couple of weeks ago, Intel announced a transistor for CPUs (and
therefore "not directly comparable" with IBM's, the story says) that
switches at speeds of up to 1.5 terahertz, and will form the core of
processors running at 20 gigahertz.
RIP Alpha
When it was announced by DEC in 1992, the Alpha microprocessor was the
first
64-bit CPU for general use outside of supercomputers. After Compaq
bought
DEC in 1998, they supported its development as well as that of a MIPS
chip
used in their Tandem Himalaya subsidiary. No more; in a deal with Intel,
Compaq will phase out the Alpha and the MIPS by 2004 for its one million-
plus users (though they say Alpha upgrades will continue through
2003) and
replace them with an upcoming generation of Intel's 64-bit Itanium CPU
called McKinley. That seems to leave as rivals only IBM's PowerPC and
Sun's
UltraSparc for high-performance machines.
Napster Case Drags On
It's easy to forget the lawsuit never actually went to trial; instead all
the skirmishing was (and still is) over a preliminary injunction issued
last
July by District Court judge Marilyn Patel. Napster requested an en banc
hearing by the entire Ninth Circuit of an appeal it lost to a three-judge
panel; that request was just denied. Unless they go to the Supremes, the
trial can now begin, though no date for it has yet been scheduled.
Meanwhile, the RIAA who won that appeal has filed one of its own to Judge
Patel's requirement that they provide file names to Napster in order to
get
them removed from the servers. And the Academy (as in Academy
Awards) just
sued Napster for making "live Oscar show
performances" available. Perhaps
simulated Oscar acts would be OK?
Thanks again, Ron.
~terry
Wed, Jun 27, 2001 (15:13)
#40
New Patent Threatens Microsoft
Intertrust Technologies of Santa Clara just received a patent on authorizing
the use of digital media over disparate types of hardware such as PCs, cell
phones, and MP3 players. That is said to be "at the heart of Microsoft's
.NET and Hailstorm software strategies" which in turn are key components of
its Windows XP business plan. The patent breathes new life into Intertrust's
two-month-old lawsuit against MS for infringement of its digital rights
management technology patents by Windows Media Player, also an XP component.
Intertrust is said to be a business partner and ally of AOL Time Warner and
RealNetworks, neither of whom are apt to cut MS any slack out of goodwill.
Dot-Com Job Losses Slowing?
June job cuts were said to be down 31% in June from the month before, to
9,216. They averaged about 13,000 a month in January - May according to
outplacement folks Challenger, Gray & Christmas.
ISP Prices Rising
Earthlink will raise its all-you-can-eat monthly charge $2 to $22, following
AOL's recent increase to $24.
Sneezeless GMO Cat Announced
Well, the new genetically-modified feline might itself sneeze, but it is
intended not to be a source of sneezing in others. Previous bio-pet
research has focused on cloning departed Fidos and Muffys to make new copies
for grieving wealthy owners, but Transgenic Pets is working on a cat without
a protein that triggers an allergic reaction in humans. (Unfortunately,
that protein serves to keep the animal's skin moist, so the bionic cat might
have to be kept in a tub of water; they're working on that.) I'd like to
see one crossed with a chameleon so its fur changes to the color of the
pants leg it's rubbing against, but this doesn't seem to be in their plans.
To protect their R&D investment, Transgenic will sell the cats itself and
they will all be neutered to prevent knockoffs, otherwise known as kittens.
Mobile Phones Dropped
Citing a flat market, Philips will cease making cell phones, except for a
minority share it retains in a Chinese company. They got into the business
in 1996, but only managed to eke out about 3 percent of the market compared
to Nokia who has around 30%, and the division never made a full-year profit.
Ericsson has outsourced all its phone manufacture, and Motorola and Nokia
announced they would expand their outsourcing as well.
Ron Sipherd, ronks@well.com contributed these, as usual.
Thanks, Ron!
~terry
Thu, Jun 28, 2001 (14:48)
#41
ronks:
Get Ready For Spim
Jargon alert: unsolicited commercial instant messages are apparently now
called "spim". Haven't got any yet? Chances are you will soon, if you use
ICQ, AOL Instant Messaging, or one of those services. ActiveBuddy of NY and
other startups are developing automated instant-messaging software that
sends out messages for FAO Schwarz, Vans Sneakers, Radiohead ("the
alternative rock band" in case you didn't know), and others. So far they
are of the opt-in variety, but some users suspect they are harvesting buddy
IDs for later advertising blitzes. In theory users can block them by
sender, but that often involves declining to accept a message and then
confirming that in a second window. Since spimmers can quickly change names,
blocking may prove useless. Besides ICQ, which some say is already clogged
with unsolicited porno messages, the new AIM 4.7 beta includes a "welcome
screen" with promotions to commercial links.
Roadrunner vs. Acme
When James Turner returned his rental car to Acme Rent-a-Car in New Haven
CT, he found an extra $450 charged to his account. Pursuant to the agreement
which he signed but didn't read (and who reads those things), the car had a
GPS that recorded him exceeding the speed limit three times, for which the
contract said he would have to pay $150 each time. Oops.
~mikeg
Thu, Jun 28, 2001 (17:53)
#42
Appeals Court have overturned the ruling Microsoft should be split up.
http://www.theregister.co.uk/content/4/20061.html
~terry
Tue, Jul 3, 2001 (14:15)
#43
Metricom Goes Bust
The wireless ISP who runs the Ricochet wireless ISP has only about 40,000
customers in fifteen cities where it operates, not enough to make a profit.
The charges ($300 for the modem plus $70-80 per month) may be a culprit.
Anyway it filed for bankruptcy; it will continue the service for now, but
its future is unclear. Maybe Iridium will buy it, ha ha.
Napster Goes Dark
The music-sharing service has temporarily lowered its jolly roger while it
revamps to comply with the court order and convert to a fee-based version
later this summer.
i-opener Gets Black Eye
The Netpliance company who makes that web-only gizmo settled charges by the
FTC that it failed to disclose extra fees and billed customers' credit cards
without their consent. It will pay a $100,000 "civil penalty" and have to
reimburse users an unspecified amount.
Webvan Does Reverse Stock Split
25 shares will become one with a value of $1.75 at yesterday's price of 7
cents (down from around 70 cents in February), as the company seeks to stave
off de-listing by Nasdaq by a July 23 deadline.
Chips Sales Sink Some More
May 2001 sales worldwide were down to $12.7 billion, in a steady slide from
around $18 B last September and off 7% from April. Most of the falloff was
in the Americas, down 32% from a year ago. The president of the
Semiconductor Industry Association, who released the numbers, said he
expected an upturn in the fourth quarter of this year. In related news
Intel announced a 1.8 gigahertz Pentium 4, charging quite a bit more for it
($562 versus $352 for a 1.7 GHz).
Web Ad Firms Merge
Continuing the industry contraction, ValueClick of LA just bought Mediaplex
of SF for $43 million in stock.
thanks, ronks.
~terry
Wed, Jul 4, 2001 (16:27)
#44
L&H Unit Gains Independence
Had to work the theme of independence in there somehow today. Actually the
Mendez division ("translation services and software provider") of Lernout &
Hauspie just exchanged masters, as the Massachusetts firm Lionbridge bought
it for $33 million. L&H originally asked $160 million for the unit which
has $80 M annual revenue, but nobody bit till the price came down by about
four-fifths.
~terry
Tue, Jul 10, 2001 (01:57)
#45
ronks@well.com contributes these precious tidbytes:
New Generation Of Fiber Optic Cable In The Lab
Called hollow-core fiber, it is speculated to have the potential for a
hundred-fold increase in the capacity of a single line. Basically, instead
of using clear glass to conduct the light which attenuates over distance,
the center of the wire is air, with a casing around it that reflects stray
photons back into the median channel. It's a long way from deployment, but
if it works it could reduce the need for periodic re-amplification of the
light.
He's Ba-a-ack
Philippe Kahn, the founder of Borland and later of Starfish Software, has
taken his share of the $254 million sale of Starfish to start yet another
company with an idea he got as he assisted with the birth of his daughter.
He wanted to be able to take snapshots and quickly send them to family and
friends, but the hospital had no such facility. At that point the LightSurf
company was born (along with its human sibling Sophie). The idea is for a
cell phone attachment that takes photos and transmits them, with adaptations
(unspecified) depending on the type of receiving device. While other
companies are involved in the are, LightSurf is working "closely with
telecommunications carriers to create an entire support structure" on the
theory that ease of use is paramount for the target market of users. Just
in case, Mr. K remains CEO of the Starfish Motorola division.
So What Is An Online Division Good For, Anyway?
Many traditional stores that shoveled megabucks into web counterparts just
as the expected gold rush tanked are looking for value in the ruins. Data
mining of customer attitudes seems to be it. As one analyst puts it, "Sales
aren't there for the online folks, and margins are lower than everybody had
expected, so they're looking for other ways to give back. So they're saying
'Hey, here's our data.'" For example, Nordstrom ran an print ad for clothes
that had a woman wearing a navel ring; it was just a prop and not for sale,
but lots of people went online looking for it, so now the store offers them
and even opened a "body jewelry" store on the web.
So What Is An Online Customer Good For, Anyway?
A recent survey of 4000 adults (with 1700 responses) by BYU professors about
their online buying habits found they broke down into eight groups, with big
spenders and browsers-only separated mainly by one thing: fear of giving out
their credit card number on the Internet. Here are the categories:
- shopping lovers, 11.1 percent
- adventurous explorers, 8.9%
- suspicious learners, 9.6%
- business users, 12.4%
- fearful browsers, 10.7%
- fun seekers, 12.1%
- technology muddlers, 19.6%
- shopping avoiders, 15.6%
~terry
Wed, Jul 11, 2001 (01:48)
#46
Microsoft, Verisign In Security Deal
MS will use Verisign to "improve the security of the personal information
collected by .Net" to address concerns over the expectation that the new
Hailstorm technology will provide a pool of personal data. Wasn't Verisign
the company that was spoofed into issuing Microsoft ID digital certificates
to an unknown hacker last year?
Buzzsaw Bought Back
In November 1999, Autodesk spun off a subsidiary called buzzsaw.com who made
software that allowed architects and building contractors to exchange
blueprints and other documents over the Internet, retaining a 40% stake.
They subsequently put $22.5 million into the venture in hopes of a
successful IPO. However as you may have heard, the market for dot-com IPOs
has somewhat diminished in the last year; so Autodesk will buy back the
other 60% for $15 million and re-integrate Buzzsaw with the mother company.
Silver Lining Dept.
George Shaheen, the former Webvan CEO who got a package of $375,000 a year
for life when he quit last April, will have to go to bankruptcy court like
all the other employees and creditors to collect it.
~terry
Thu, Jul 19, 2001 (00:27)
#47
ronks:
Putting The Ban In Taliban
The Afghan government has forbidden its citizens, almost none of whom has a
telephone, from using the Internet where "un-Islamic influences" reside.
Apple Profit Down
Net earnings for the most recent quarter were $61 million, compared with
$200 M in the year-ago period. Its CFO explained that some of the shortfall was due to planned inventory reductions. The company has a large cushion of $4.2 billion in cash and liquid securities to tide it over bad times, and it is battling Dell for the lead in the K-12 school market.
Russian Hacker Busted
After (perhaps unwisely) giving a talk at the hackers' Las Vegas DefCon
conference on how to break Adobe's e-book encryption, 27-year-old Dmitri
Sklyarov was arrested on charges of violating the Digital Millennium
Copyright Act. He faces five years of jail and a $500,000 fine for his role with Moscow-based ElcomSoft in writing software to decrypt Adobe e-books.
E-Books Apply For Copyright
In a first, two full-length publications issued solely in electronic form
("Business Week's Guide To The Best Business Schools" and "The Hitchhiker's
Guide To The Wireless Web") were transmitted to the US Copyright Office for
registration and sent to the Library Of Congress.
Netzeroistas Bail
Following the merger of their firm with Juno Online to create United Online, which is in trouble just like its two predecessors as online advertising
shrinks, four founders of Netzero have left, to form Layer2Networks,
described as a "broadband networking company". Which they believe the world needs yet more of.
~terry
Fri, Jul 20, 2001 (16:14)
#48
ronks:
Post-Napster Peer-Based Swapping Services Proliferate
While Napster remains shut pending appeals on whether 99.4% rejection of
copyrighted file downloads is enough, other sites have rapidly picked up the
slack. Unlike Napster, which operated with distributed files but
centralized information on where they were stored, the new services (five of
the six most popular essentially didn't exist 5 months ago) are more peer-
oriented. Technically they resemble Gnutella but with better interfaces.
Record companies are thus left with the unappetizing prospect of suing all
the individual users, which will probably not happen. Some examples of
file-sharing services mentioned in the article are MusicCity Morpheus,
Audiogalaxy Satellite, KaZaA, iMesh, BearShare, and LimeWire.
An Online Grocery Success Story
Tesco.com, a division of the Tesco chain of supermarkets, is estimated to
have made $7 million net profit on $422 M annual sales, on an investment by
the parent chain of a mere $56 M. It took more or less the opposite tack
from Webvan (and of course is showing the opposite in results): it charges
about $7 for delivery, and it has no separate warehouses. Instead it uses
the chain's 690 stores as stockrooms, with staff wheeling specialized carts
that follow an efficient computer-generated route through the aisles and can
load six orders at once. The CEO's observation following his visit to
Webvan last year is worth quoting: "People were making some very strange
decisions. They were saying things like 'I'm going to get the revenue first
and work out the cost structure later.'" Worrying about costs, how quaint.
Tesco is a British chain, but they recently entered a US venture with
GroceryWorks in partnership with Safeway.
PC Sales Down
According to Gartner and International Data Corporation, worldwide sales of
PCs fell about 2% in the last quarter, the first quarterly drop in 15 years.
Sun Down
Likewise posting an unaccustomed loss, Sun Microsystems announced a
quarterly shortfall of $88 million, the first since 1989. The culprits were
Japan, where sales dropped 27%, and Europe, off 17%. Earnings a year ago
were $720 M. Excluding one-time events though, Sun made $134 M profit.
Nortel Wa-a-ay Down
The Canadian networking firm lost $19.4 billion (with a "B") for the
quarter, compared with a profit of $637 million last year. Even excluding
one-time charges, their continuing operations lost $1.6 B.
~terry
Mon, Jul 23, 2001 (19:53)
#49
ron sipherd (ronks@well.com)
Popular Pop-Unders Pose Problem
A new type of advertising said to have originated at pornography sites, is
appearing with greater frequency around the Web. Called the "pop-under",
it's a separate window opened by the main page without the viewer's request.
It appears "behind" the main page unlike a "pop-up" which displays in front,
so you don't normally see it until you close your browser - or think you
have closed it, only to find one or more of the pop-unders under. The new
format raises two questions:
1. Are the Web publishers that resort to such tactics, who include
Microsoft, Primedia, the NY Times, X10.com, and Yahoo, vile excrescences fit
only for extermination? The argument goes that these ads are giving the
industry a bad name for intrusiveness, since they are not asked for and
don't appear in view at a relevant point but only when you are done surfing
and are trying to close the browser.
2. Should the pop windows (up and under) count as visits to the host's site?
X10.com uses them extensively, and if they are included it ranks as the
Web's fourth-most-visited site, ahead of Lycos; but if not, it drops to
#116. Some raters say counting pops is "as if TV ratings counted beer
commercials as prime-time programming". (Of course some beer ads may be
more entertaining, but that's not the issue here.) Jupiter Media Metrix
counts pops, Nielsen doesn't, take your pick.
DVDs Fly
...off the shelves, even as PCs and other electronic gizmos lag in sales.
Retail US sales were up 69 percent at 5.2 million units in the first half of
this year from the comparable period in 2000. So far, 20.4 M have been sold
since the format was introduced four years ago according to the story, and
460 M disks to go into them. As of February 2000 8% of US homes had DVD
units (96% had VCRs); 15 months later in May 2001 the figure was up to 12%.
Apple Poised For Takeoff?
Although it has less than 4% market share in America and less overseas, some
analysts suggest Apple's time may be here. They observe that the "price-
performance gap" between Apple computers and PCs has narrowed, so you get
about the same bang for the buck with either, and that as the Internet has
become such a focus of personal computing the importance of the operating
system has diminished (hear that, Netscape/Oracle/Sun?). Also showman Steve
Jobs has made progress in turning the Mac into a "digital hub" for consumer
editing of audio and video files, leveraging its strengths with design
professionals. The story also observes this initiative may be related to
Apple's move to open its own stores even as Gateway is bailing out of its
own: while billboards and magazine ads are fine for showing off a new
translucent strawberry-colored laptop say, you need to get people to try new
software features to appreciate them, and that means hands-on testing.
~terry
Tue, Jul 24, 2001 (10:39)
#50
Popular Pop-Unders Pose Problem
A new type of advertising said to have originated at pornography sites, is
appearing with greater frequency around the Web. Called the "pop-under",
it's a separate window opened by the main page without the viewer's request.
It appears "behind" the main page unlike a "pop-up" which displays in front,
so you don't normally see it until you close your browser - or think you
have closed it, only to find one or more of the pop-unders under. The new
format raises two questions:
1. Are the Web publishers that resort to such tactics, who include
Microsoft, Primedia, the NY Times, X10.com, and Yahoo, vile excrescences fit
only for extermination? The argument goes that these ads are giving the
industry a bad name for intrusiveness, since they are not asked for and
don't appear in view at a relevant point but only when you are done surfing
and are trying to close the browser.
2. Should the pop windows (up and under) count as visits to the host's site?
X10.com uses them extensively, and if they are included it ranks as the
Web's fourth-most-visited site, ahead of Lycos; but if not, it drops to
#116. Some raters say counting pops is "as if TV ratings counted beer
commercials as prime-time programming". (Of course some beer ads may be
more entertaining, but that's not the issue here.) Jupiter Media Metrix
counts pops, Nielsen doesn't, take your pick.
DVDs Fly
...off the shelves, even as PCs and other electronic gizmos lag in sales.
Retail US sales were up 69 percent at 5.2 million units in the first half of
this year from the comparable period in 2000. So far, 20.4 M have been sold
since the format was introduced four years ago according to the story, and
460 M disks to go into them. As of February 2000 8% of US homes had DVD
units (96% had VCRs); 15 months later in May 2001 the figure was up to 12%.
Apple Poised For Takeoff?
Although it has less than 4% market share in America and less overseas, some
analysts suggest Apple's time may be here. They observe that the "price-
performance gap" between Apple computers and PCs has narrowed, so you get
about the same bang for the buck with either, and that as the Internet has
become such a focus of personal computing the importance of the operating
system has diminished (hear that, Netscape/Oracle/Sun?). Also showman Steve
Jobs has made progress in turning the Mac into a "digital hub" for consumer
editing of audio and video files, leveraging its strengths with design
professionals. The story also observes this initiative may be related to
Apple's move to open its own stores even as Gateway is bailing out of its
own: while billboards and magazine ads are fine for showing off a new
translucent strawberry-colored laptop say, you need to get people to try new
software features to appreciate them, and that means hands-on testing.
~terry
Sun, Aug 12, 2001 (14:06)
#51
from ronks@well.com Ron Sipherd
Napster Foes Seek Knockout Punch
Record-label plaintiffs in the copyright suit have so far achieved a
"preliminary injunction" against Napster's operations, pending final
resolution at a trial on the merits of the case. Tuesday they asked the
judge to skip that part and issue summary judgement without a trial; they
claim essentially that there are no issues of fact to be tried for which
evidence needs to be presented, or in other words there's no reason to let
Napster put on its case because there's no possibility they have one.
Sun Gets Hot
In a full-page newspaper ad yesterday they trumpeted their partnership with
Hitachi to sell big storage systems to big companies with the statement that the only alternative was *E*xpensive, *M*onolithic, and *C*losed, playing on their main competitor EMC. Today's ad does not come out and literally say
*M*ighty *S*limy, but it criticizes Microsoft for pulling Java out of
Windows XP with the statement "Sure Microsoft believes in freedom of choice. As long as they get to choose". They also observe that you can thwart MS by downloading Java from java.sun.com any time you like.
The Edible Resume?
A Kansas company called Sweetart at www.sweetart.com takes H-P color inkjet
printers and modifies them to print images on cake icings. The units, which use food coloring cartridges in place of ink, are integrated into systems
with a scanner and a PC. And a movable arm holding the print heads, because do you know what a cake looks like after it's gone through a sheet-feeder?
They say they have sold "several thousand" systems to bakeries and grocery
stores, and one customer even uses his to create sand paintings.
Iomega Shrinks
The maker of cheesy removable storage devices (as the saying goes they
didn't invent the click of death, they just made it popular) will cut over a third of its staff, from 3300 to 2050, and take a $65 million charge as part of a reorganization plan.
Flooz Poofs
The online-currency dot-com who spent $8 million on Whoopi Goldberg ads was
created in 1999 by Robert Levitan, a co-founder of the women's Web site
iVillage. It was named for (they say) an ancient Persian form of cash, back when air travel meant flying carpets. But it never really took off, since
merchants had to modify their systems to accept the currency and consumers
had to tie up funds till they bought something. Competitors like Beenz.com
and eCash have faced similar problems. Lately, Flooz and Beenz.com have
tried to move into B2B but Flooz looks to have abandoned all hope, as they
shut their site, stopped accepting their own currency for payment, and asked retailers to remove links to Flooz.
Host Floats
At least I hope so. I'll be canoeing down the Missouri out of Fort Benton
MT next week and seriously out of touch; don't let anything interesting
happen while I'm gone, eh?
~terry
Wed, Aug 22, 2001 (12:13)
#52
ronks rides again.
@Home @End Of Road?
A financial analyst briefly summed up the prospects for high-speed ISP @Home
as "Put butter on them; they're toast." With a loss of over $346 million
and only $183M in cash reserves, a statement from their auditors to the SEC
that there is "substantial doubt" whether they can survive, and a stock
price of 49 cents (down 40 cents from a day ago) which may cause it to be
de-listed by Nasdaq unless they do a reverse split, this is not the best of
times for them. Also, a deal expired two months ago that required three
major shareholders (AT&T, Cox Communications, and Comcast) to use @Home for
their high-speed service offerings, and the former captive owners have fled.
Agilent Not Doing Too Well Either
The 1999 spinoff from H-P will boot 4,000 employees (about 9%) after an
April 10 percent pay cut proved inadequate to stem losses. They lost $219
million last quarter compared to a $1545 M profit a year ago, with sales
down 23%.
The Worm Turns
A consortium of security businesses like McAfee has been formed to fight the
attack of the killer worms such as Code Red I through LXXXXVIIII, and to
develop technology to thwart distributed denial-of-service attacks, with
input from three network firms called Arbor, Asta, and Mazu.
Paul: Glad you're back from vacation Ron!
Thanks! I enjoy writing them, though it was a relief to spend a week away
from news of technology (not to mention the Middle East, Wall Street, and
anyplace outside the Missouri Breaks). I read "Trent's Last Case" and a
history of Glacial Lake Missoula, 500 cubic miles of water that drained in
about a week onto the Palouse at the end of the last Ice Age. Blub.
An Emmy For Apple
Not to Steve Jobs for Best Supporting Actor, but to IEEE 1394 (nee Firewire)
which was developed in the 90's and included in Macs since 1999 for high-
speed data transport. Besides being used widely in TV production to
transfer images among cameras, editing gear, and computers, it "has been
adopted as a standard for high-definition television". The award should
help Apple in its drive to sell its Macs as "digital hubs" for households as
well as pros to edit home movies and the like.
And Then There Were Two
Two gigahertz, no waiting. Eighteen months after it offered a CPU that ran
at one GHz, Intel will offer a 2 GHz processor starting next week. AMD will
release its 1.5 GHz Athlon chip then too.
~terry
Thu, Aug 23, 2001 (12:07)
#53
ronks rides again.
Infrared, Release 2
Infrared beams have long (well OK over ten years) been used in low-bandwidth
applications like TV remotes. Researchers at Penn State have developed a
technique that involves a lattice of echoing IR beams to create a 2-gigabit/
second network within a room; previous attempts foundered on scattering of
the beams creating a kind of IR echo, which they claim to have solved with
"a holographic filter". While IR has some defects relative to radio waves
used for most wireless nets such as the inability to go through walls, it
has some major advantages. Such as the inability to go through walls, which
makes eavesdropping from outside much harder and prevents one room-net from
interfering with another. Also, IR is an unregulated wavelength unlike the
radio spectrum. If low-level radio waves are ever found to pose health
risks, IR will be at an advantage there too. Plus it keeps the room warm in
winter..
Wanted: Chirpy Accountant
One day after Ernst & Young, auditors for Excite@Home, announced in a filing
to the SEC that the ISP might not generate enough cash to survive, they were
replaced by their client with another auditor. A spokespern for Excite said
"I know the timing looks kind of funny." What a sense of humor those guys
have. The ostensible reason is that AT&T owns 23% of Excite, and they
wanted to use the same auditor for consistency. Ya sure you betcha.
Big Brother Loves You
It's unlikely that the IRS will soon adopt the ubiquitous slogan from
Orwell's 1984, but in practical terms they're moving that way. They just
let a $10 million contract to Peoplesoft for a "customer relationship
management" system, no doubt to keep taxpayers from going to a competitor.
By next year, tax preparers will be able to access information on their
clients' accounts, and by 2004 (twentieth anniversary; coincidence?) IRS
agents and members of the public will be able to view their tax history
online. "Perfect information about every customer" is the goal, according
to a Peoplesoft VP. Oh, and of course the connection will be "secure".
Online Broker Loses
Things are so bad in the stock market that even the brokers are in trouble.
TD Waterhouse, the third largest Internet dealer after Schwab and Fidelity,
says it suffered its first-ever quarterly net loss. It was $22 million in
the hole compared to a $35 M profit a year ago, with commissions down 36%.
The volume of trades was off 18% from the previous quarter, to 101,700/day.
~terry
Mon, Aug 27, 2001 (14:33)
#54
Flooz Bamboozled
A couple of weeks ago the online-currency site stopped operating and
merchants stopped taking their e-money. Last weekend the company officially
went out of business. BTW another similar site called Beenz.com also
suspended its operations last week, and Buy.com told the SEC it may have to
close though it later said it would keep going for now. Anyway, one factor
in Flooz's demiiz seems to be a bunch of credit-card-number-nappers in
Russia and the Philippines who bought around $300,000 of flooz-bucks in the
last three months with stolen ID. When Flooz's credit card processor
learned of the fraud from complaints by the real cardholders, it stopped
crediting Flooz for the transactions, holding up around a million dollars
which "created an untenable cash flow situation".
IBM Builds Tube Switch
They took a step closer to the "post-silicon" era by making a carbon
nanotube 10 atoms wide they can turn to "true" and "false" states like a 1/0
bit. They say they need to do another couple years' R&D before they can
determine if the technology is practical to manufacture in volume, but if it
is they believe they can achieve a transistor packing density of 10,000
times that of silicon, which may run into its physical limit in 10-15 years.
Now We Know
One distinction of Web advertisements is that their effectiveness can be
measured accurately with "click-through", the number of times people respond
to an online ad by clicking on it to visit the vendor's own site and buy
something, unlike say magazine and TV commercials where one can only guess.
Procter & Gamble even decided a few years back to base its online ad
royalties on click-through volume. Alas, an article today notes that
accountability has turned out to be Web ads' weakness not its strength, as
advertisers discover that almost nobody clicks on those colorful animated
dealies. Various reactions are surfacing: marketwatch.com will simply stop
reporting click-through rates (well, that should solve the problem); other
vendors will use "view-based conversions" that attempt to measure the number
of people who visit their site after an ad has been sent to their browser,
though that may raise some privacy questions. And some quote retailer John
Wanamaker, who said more or less that half his ad budget was wasted, he just
didn't know which half.
Cable Beats DSL
A report from Cahners research says there are 5.3 million US cable modem
users compared to 3.1 M DSL customers, and that for the last nine months the
sale of cable modems has exceeded DSL modems by 30-50%. They cite two
problems with DSL: one is that it often requires dealing with two or more
vendors who try to blame the other for any problems in lieu of fixing it;
the other is that DSL providers keep dying, like Northpoint and Covad.
Computer Error Of The Week
A glitch blamed on video processing at HBO inserted scenes of African women
playing basketball into a drama called "Six Feet Under" about a family who
runs a funeral home.
ronks
~terry
Wed, Aug 29, 2001 (11:34)
#55
ronks:
Lucent Drop Prompts Questions
With its stock down 91 percent in the last year and a half, current and
former workers at Lucent regret their participation in the company's stock
purchase plan and taking bonuses in now-worthless stock options. But
outside of that, they're asking why their employer sank 30% of its 401(k)
investments in its own stock. And "sank" is the word. Economists involved
with pensions funds suggest that the trustees' need to act "with prudence"
dictates no more than 10% should ever be invested in a single company.
Gateway Dumps Staff, And Most Of World
The PC maker, whose sales are concentrated almost entirely in the weak
consumer market and who is battling Dell in a margin-eating price war, saw
its revenue drop last quarter to $1.5 billion from $2.2 B last year, and
lost $21 million compared with a net profit of $118 M in 2Q2000. They
earlier axed 3,000 staff, but they are laying off another 5,000 or a quarter
of the remaining employees, and eliminating all operations in the Asia-
Pacific area and nearly all in Europe, leaving only a small Latin America
overseas presence.
AT&T, Bells Duke It Out In DC
A bill working its way through the US House of Representatives would free
phone companies from having to open their local networks to rivals like ISPs
and DSL providers at wholesale prices, claiming they would (they say)
install more high-speed bandwidth, for the ultimate benefit of the consumer,
if they could charge for it whatever the market would bear. ISPs and DSL
providers, backed by cable companies including AT&T, seem to think their
having to pay more would not be in the public interest. The two sides have
already spent over $10 million in lobbying pro and con. Current betting is
that the Bells may prevail in the House but will lose in the Senate.
Sun Casts A Cloud On Domain Names
In what one called a "scare tactic", Internet domain-name registrars got a
letter from Sun's lawyers last week demanding they refuse to register any
sites with names that include the words "sun", "enterprise", "ultra",
"cobalt" and several others that Sun claims exclusive rights to. Companies
like Enterprise Rent-A-Car (www.enterprise.com) expressed dismay.
~terry
Mon, Sep 3, 2001 (17:38)
#56
This is the funniest thing ronks has ever written (Flops of Tomorrow, about the catalapult)
Flops Of Today
Flooz.com filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy; it says it has about $296,000 in
assets and $14 million in debts. It blames a $300,000 credit-card fraud for
contributing to its demise; the actual amount was not so much, but it
triggered a panic among its card processors who stopped payments to Flooz.
NetObjects will cease to be an object itself; the Redwood City software
maker says it has shut down and will auction off its assets. 48 percent
owned by IBM, its stock has sunk from $46 six months ago to 28 cents now.
Come to think of it, I remember a product called NetObjects Fusion which I
though was pretty successful, though I can't recall what it did.
Flops Of Tomorrow
I think the Patent Office must have a silly season in the summertime.
Rodney Java of San Francisco received patent # 6024264 for a hiker's
headgear (specifically not a hat, please) consisting of a retractable hood.
On top is a swiveling pyramid covered with solar panels which power
electric motors that run fans. "The purpose of the fans is to cool the
head", he notes helpfully. Wait, there's more. Attached to a built-in
water bottle are two tubes and pumps; one "delivers a measured portion of
drinking water to the hiker", presumably in the vicinity of the owner's
mouth. Another sprays water into the twirling fan blades which is "directed
onto the head of the user in the form of a cooling mist". The unit also
includes a net to draw down over the face, ostensibly for protection against
insects but possibly, the story notes, to hide the fog-enshrouded, motorized
twirling-pyramid-topped user from recognition. Rudolf Susko of Edmonton
California (all these guys are from California - coincidence?) received
patent 6,210,285 for a human-body-tossing "beach catapult". His application
states that "Its use will be in ejecting projectiles into the air .. wherein
projectile means people." "The use of the present invention has not been
documented to date", he observes candidly, though its utility to certain
organized crime syndicates is obvious. "He sleeps with the flying fishes"
could become a new tag line. How it works: "Upon releasing the seat
[containing the victim], the tensile bows are capable of recovering original
positions and thrusting the seat in an inclined path, whereby an occupant
placed therein is ejected into a free flight." Hopefully toward the water.
And Mr. Larry Dunks (I am not making these names up) of Oroville got patent
6,152,461 for a covered wagon "which can be converted for use to a picnic
table with benches and then back to a ranch wagon configuration for lawn
decoration". I wonder if it could be catapulted into the ocean as well.
Measuring Web Effectiveness, Chapter MDCCCLXVIII
An analyst for Jupiter Media Metrix noted recently that "retailers find it
difficult to measure their Web sites' impact on in-store sales". Well, duh.
But he goes on to say that while online sales pay back directly less than
half the money spent on them, the benefits in helping customers do pre-sale
research, in customer service, and in operating efficiency constitute the
primary benefits to the merchant. Consequently, thinking of a Web site
solely as a "transaction engine" for sales is apt to lead to failure. And a
Forrester Research analyst examined techniques used by catalog companies
such as Sharper Image to track Internet-based sales, even when placed by
phone; they use a different product code for the same item displayed on
their Web site and in their paper catalog, so they can track purchases to
their source.
~terry
Wed, Sep 5, 2001 (15:05)
#57
ronks 10/5/01
There seems to be a great deal of skepticism over whether the HP-Compaq
merger is good for their customers or the companies themselves, and whether
in fact it will survive antitrust scrutiny or the shareholders' vote to
approve. Compaq stock was down over ten percent after the announcement and
HP shares sank more than 18%. Regulators are likely to ask if the public
needs one less PC brand in stores now that Packard Bell and Acer have left;
they may have been turkeys (PB and Acer, not the regulators) but they
provided some competitive pressure. While the new company is expected to
focus more on services and paid support there was a brief mention that it
hoped to make a splash with an unnamed new "server operating system" that
would compete with Sun and MS.
Ellen Hancock Bails
The former IBM executive who joined Exodus Communications three years ago as
CEO has "unexpectedly quit", though her replacement says she left by mutual
agreement: the stock price of the website operator has sunk 98 percent and
it accumulated $3 billion of debt as it acquired rival GlobalCenter. In the
last two months, three board members have quit and the CFO was replaced.
Dell Buys Dell
Michael Dell exercised his options yesterday. He bought 4.2 million shares
of the PC maker named by him and after him. It was not a bad deal, since
his options price averaged $3 and the rest of the world has to pay over $22
for them. He now owns 296.2 million shares personally, and his wife and a
trust he controls hold another 49.1M, for a total worth around $7.7 billion.
Yes, but is he happy?
~terry
Thu, Sep 6, 2001 (15:04)
#58
Butter PDA Available
A fifty-pound Palm VII made of butter, and first place winner at the
Minnesota State Fair (though the category is unclear; "50-lb. slippery
yellow PDAs" seems too narrow to attract many entries), is being auctioned
off on EBay at . Purchase
money will be given to the Minnesota 4H Foundation. The article says the
device is compatible with toast and any flavor of jelly.
EBay Picks WebSphere
Speaking of EBay, they evidently need something more robust than a buttery
PDA themselves to drive operations; they just let a contract worth an
estimated $50 million to IBM to use WebSphere for their "e-business platform
software". Bragging rights are probably part of the deal, with EBay as a
trophy client; it's big, it's profitable, and it's growing, something that
many other e-commerce sites are not (in case you didn't know). Its volume
of transactions from 35 million registered users can be prodigious,
especially at the end of an auction period. IDC and Giga estimate last
year's revenue from this type of software at $2.2 billion and $1.6 B
respectively, with a 40% annual growth rate. Maybe now IBM will auction off
those dumb WebSphere spacesuits.
Disney To Rent Movies On Demand
They signed up with the News Corporation to operate movies.com, where users
with video-on-demand facilities will be able to view new films directly from
the Net with the ability to stop and restart them, and users without VOD
will be able to download them to their PC for viewing. Charges are
anticipated to be on a par with store rentals and pay-per-view. Another
group of five studios (MGM, Paramount, Sony, Universal, and Warner) is
working on a similar service.
~terry
Sun, Jan 20, 2002 (21:50)
#59
PenCam Is Here
The lead for Most Useless Gadget Of 2002 seems held for now by a new device
that combines (as its name implies) a pen and a video camera. Its purpose,
which vendor Upper Deck feels the world has been waiting for, is to ensure
that a baseball or like memento has been signed by the person whose name
appears on the orb.
How it works: the superstar, or a flunky, swivels the
camera lens up toward his rugged face to "establish identity"; then it is
turned back toward the tip of the pen as he signs his name, or perhaps marks
it with an X or whatever.
The images "are sent wirelessly [so the PenCam
also includes a transmitter?] to a computer and entered into a database";
the video file is then matched with the signed object for sale to a fan.
Its first live test was with Michael Jordan, whose response was "he wanted
us to make it lighter and smaller", understandably. Signing with both hands
is probably awkward.
Cyberboy Is Here
Not a cartoon hero, but "a combination personal organizer, MP3 player,
digital camera [with video capture], audio recorder, and FM radio", all it
needs is a pen attachment and you could sign baseballs with it while playing
music and checking your calendar. At $349 from CMC Magnetics, it may be
priced for sports celebrities, but its name is perfect for product placement
in a movie: Cyberboy meets Cybergirl, Cyberboy loses Cybergirl, ...
~terry
Sun, Jan 20, 2002 (21:51)
#60
Good Customer Service Is Not Here
A recent survey by Jupiter Media Metrix of 250 Web sites last month showed
the following breakdown in time to respond to customer requests:
Within 6 hours: 30 percent
6 to 24 hours: 18 percent
1 to 3 days: 18 percent
Over 3 days
or not at all: 34 percent
The results were well below customer expectations: 1/3 or the respondents
expected a reply within 6 hours, and all did within 2 days. Dream on.
IBM Scores On Patents
The company received 3,411 patents in 2001 (up from 2,886 the year before),
well ahead of any other business, none of whom have ever exceeded 3,000 in a
year. It collects $1.7 billion annually in royalties from patent licensees.
~terry
Sun, Jan 20, 2002 (21:52)
#61
ronks:
Nukes Drive Wee Batteries
All those tiny micro-electro-mechanical (MEM) devices on the drawing boards
to monitor roads, bridges, tires, etc. need power, and a wall plug would be
larger by orders of magnitude than the gizmo. Groups at Caltech and the U
of Wisconsin are experimenting with small (~ 1 centimeter long) batteries
that use radioactive isotopes.
Nickel 63 emits beta particles and is the
present favorite; alpha emitters are promising except for their tendency to
destroy their packaging. Tritium is another potential source - an Illinois
company is testing it. Makers say that while all the units are "nuclear",
their small size makes them no more dangerous than a smoke detector which
uses radioactive americium. They say.
Future Auto To Be Built On Skateboard
Albeit a very large one. GM's new concept car, the Autonomy (clever, huh?)
consists of a more or less flat base with four wheels, a fuel-cell engine,
and on-board computers. Onto the "skateboard" base goes the body, with
seats, steering, roof, walls, that sort of thing, which you may elect to
change for different purposes (cargo vs. passengers) or just to suit your
mood (SUV, sports car, humvee).
~terry
Sun, Jan 20, 2002 (21:53)
#62
Visor Add-on Promotes Sleep
The "Jetlog 24x7 PowerNapping Springboard Module" (I am not making this up)
for $100 permits the user up to 40 minutes of light sleep so long as he
keeps his thumb on a button. If he lets go, or after time's up, "an alarm
with increasing volume blasts out of the Visor's speaker". The maker
specifically disclaims responsibility for damage, in the event the user
relaxes too much and drops the unit (or is set upon and mauled by everyone
else on the bus).
Credit Card Issuers Seek Online Teen Spenders
Though the US under-18 crowd spends an estimated $155 billion a year, only a
measly $1 billion of that is shelled out online. Seeing an untapped market
there (sort of like China), plastic merchants are targeting the young'uns.
Visa has something called Visa Buxx and MasterCard has plans they aren't
ready to disclose yet, but American Express just threw in the towel on its
Cobaltcard. The problems are daunting, and the article divides them into
three types: fees, marketing, and uses for the cards. The fees are a
problem because to avoid legal and ethical problems with underage kids
getting in debt, the accounts are all prepaid debit cards that draw on money
put into an associated account. No debt means no fat interest charges, so
the plastic people (hmm, reminds me of a song) rely instead on transaction
fees: to put money into the account, to check your balance, etc. Kids
quickly learn the concept of being nickel-and-dimed to death, and stop using
the cards. Marketing problems sum up to the eternal difficulty of pitching
something that appeals to both the kids and their parents; if credit card
makers can solve that one, achieving world peace should be a cinch.
~terry
Sun, Jan 20, 2002 (21:53)
#63
ronks:
Thumbprint Mistaken For Potato Chip
The DigitalPersona company, maker of the U.are.U fingerprint recognition
units, though it would be a swell idea to promote their product at the
recent Consumer Electronics Show by hiring a guy to dress up in a thumb suit
to walk around the floor. Unfortunately it mostly just resulted in a very
high error rate, probably not DP's intention. Most attendees thought the
actor represented:
a lima bean
an Easter egg
a psychedelic cookie
a raisin
a jelly bean
a cracked M&M
an M&M on crack
a potato chip
a surfboard
a germ
an amoeba
An embarrassed VP for product marketing tried to shift blame to his
potential customers by observing "people aren't used to seeing a dancing
biometric running around." The digital actor helped out: "When people stare
at me long enough, I'll just blurt out 'I'm a thumbprint!'"
Tue 15 Jan '02 (08:26 AM)
Dot-Name Starts Today
Around 60,000 .name Web and e-mail addresses registered through December 18
become active now, and another set registered later will go online later
this month.
End Of Internet Week
The publication started in 1984 as Communications Week and changed its name
in 1998. Its last issue was January 7, and employer CMP Media says that
"some" of its staff will be reassigned. Guess what happens to the rest.
~terry
Sun, Jan 20, 2002 (21:53)
#64
ronks:
Apple Claims New Users
The maker of candy-colored computers says forty percent of those who bought
machines at its 27 retail stores were purchasing their first Macintosh.
That would address one of Apple's main problems: a core of intensely loyal
users who constitute 5 percent of the market, but not much new blood.
Symantec Claims Income Gains
Not easy when your quarterly GAAP profits fell to $100,000 from $14 million
a year earlier; but by issuing a pro-forma statement that ignores expenses
for acquisitions, closing of offices, and other unpleasant facts, they were
able to show earnings of 78 cents a share compared to the expected 64 cents.
Perhaps they hired some unemployed Enron auditors.
Gates Claims Interest In Security
In a company-wide memo likened to his 1995 declaration that the Microsoft
battleship had to turn around to deal with the Internet, the maximum leader
has told his minions to make their code "trustworthy". The article says all
OS development will stop in the month of February while everybody goes to
training camp on security. While skepticism is understandable, there are
signs that top MS execs are feeling stung at having Gartner recommend
clients abandon its IIS Web server software because of its chronic weakness,
and announcing that all buffer-overrun problems were fixed only to have them
resurface big-time in Windows XP with Universal Plug And Play, especially
after they talked up XP as NT-based and hence more reliable than Windows 9x
versions. Chances are they have even noticed people adopting Linux on high-
profit-margin servers on account of MS security problems.
~terry
Sun, Jan 20, 2002 (21:54)
#65
ronks:
Dvorak Claims Broadband Dead
The same day I read about a TechNet report requesting the president and
Congress to declare a national policy to bring "high-speed Internet access
to 100 million homes and businesses by the end of the decade", I saw John
Dvorak's column in PC Magazine on who killed broadband. I think you have to
take Mr. D. with a grain or more of salt, but he makes some good points, and
DSL, cable, satellite, have probably not lived up to growth expectations so
far. The reasons he cites for the "lost cause of the Broadband Revolution":
- continued growth of dial-up, with V.92/V.44 modems at 300 Kbps
- nobody but servers needs 24/7 availability anyway, and it's a big
security headache
- it costs more than POTS (Plain Old Telephone Service), $500-1200 a year
- "clueless repair personnel", no roaming, low peak-hour bandwidth
- broken promises: slow downloads, streaming media that stutters
- "bad reputation" as the corpses of failed companies like Northpoint,
Excite, etc. litter the field
- "cell phone threat" if 3rd-generation broadband enables wireless
high-speed hookups [this is a threat?]
- "saturation" now that "everyone who wants high-speed access has it"
- "AOL syndrome"; he seems to mean by this that the vast market of the
Great Unwashed Public is quite happy with AOL's training wheels and
dial-up.
~terry
Thu, Jan 24, 2002 (08:18)
#66
Risky Business I
The CERT center at Carnegie Mellon University for tracking Internet security
issues logged six incidents in 1988. My, how times have changed. In 2001,
the number had risen to 52,658 as both hacker attacks and public willingness
to report them increased. Part of the graph is hard to read, but some of
the numbers (from the Software Engineering Institute) are:
1988 6
1989 132
1990 252
1994-1997 ~2K-4K, with a slight decline in 1997
1998 4000
1999 10000
2000 21000
2001 52658
Risky Business II
Worldwide estimated revenue at Internet gambling sites for both 2001 and
2002 is down by half a billion US dollars for each year (to $3B and $4.1B
respectively) from earlier predictions. Not because half the states here
prohibit betting on the Internet. Not because all states prohibit the
operation of an Internet casino. Not because the Federal Wire Act bars
sports betting (and possibly other forms) over the Net. But because so many
gamblers are refusing to make good on their credit-card gambling debts that
banks and CC companies decline to authorize the transactions. American
Express and Discover have forbidden such use for "several years"; Wells
Fargo, MBNA, and Providian do likewise; and Visa and MasterCard are
tightening their restrictions and may bar it altogether. The article
reports that some casinos are finding 80% of their transactions denied, and
that some operations have been forced to close as a result. Matthew Katz,
the owner of gambling consultant ECasino Solutions, complains "Nobody looks
at gaming as an industry with any respect. Everybody says it's shady."
from Ron Sipherd ronks@well.com
~terry
Fri, Mar 1, 2002 (12:27)
#67
Fast Computer Sales Slow
Dataquest reports that global sales of servers rose only 1.8 percent in
2001, the lowest rise in five years. Dell edged out IBM for second place
behind Compaq's 23% lead. Workstation sales fell 11%; Dell remained on
top
with 32% of the total, followed by Sun and Compaq.
Linux Goes To The Movies
The open-source OS helped create "Shrek" and Dreamworks, the studio
behind
Mr. Shrek's success, just signed a "multimillion-dollar alliance" with
H-P
to implement GNU Linux on its animation systems. Pixar is also reported
moving toward Linux on its workstations.
Intel Off The Hook In Europe
After investigating complaints by AMD and Taiwan's VIA Technologies that
Intel abused its 83% share of the microprocessor market with its
customer-
loyalty programs and with connection-design licenses that allegedly
raised
compatibility hurdles for competitors, the European commission has
decided
to drop antitrust proceedings.
Information Wants To Be Expensive
The Motley Fool financial-advice site will soon join Salon,
TheStreet.com,
and Yahoo in converting some of its free sections to paid-subscriber
only.
Starting on Valentine Day, its discussion areas will be open to those who
have committed $5 a month or $30 for a year. Salon says its premium
services now account for 30% of its total revenue.
Fast Company
The International Solid State Circuits Conference takes place in San
Francisco this week, and chip-makers are rushing to issue press releases
and
secure bragging rights. IBM seems to be focusing on power consumption,
with
a CPU that uses no more than needed for its chores by switching instantly
between high and low-drain states. But Intel is swinging for the fences
with news of 10 gigahertz circuitry in a demo CPU. Reportedly their
current
2.2 GHz Pentium 4 contains sections that run internally at 4.4; the lab
unit
more than doubles that speed by a new means. Instead of shrinking the
entire circuitry the old-fashioned way, their engineers are concentrating
on
reducing a particular portion called the "physical gate length" of the
transistors. They say they have now got it down to 90 nanometers, or
about
360 atoms; two years ago it was thought that 140 nm was the limit.
IBM, Microsoft In Joint Venture
After the results of their previous collaboration to produce OS/2 you'd
think they would get the message, but those who do not learn from the
past
are condemned etcetera. Anyway the old monopolist and the new monopolist
are back together again with BEA Systems as a third partner in WSIO, the
Web
Services Interoperability Organization. Its purpose per a participant is
"testing Web software from different suppliers to verify that it really
does
allow the open sharing of data across the Internet". The driving force
seems to be the reluctance of corporate and private users to employ the
Web
for transactions like inventory management and calendar scheduling out of
concern that incompatible standards will lead to errors. Presumably WSIO
will ensure that no one large vendor attempts to pollute the standards.
Hmmm; fox, meet henhouse.
Critical Path In Plea Bargain
The Internet company reached a deal with the SEC over findings that it
was
"creating spurious sales contracts, hiding contingencies affecting
revenue
recognition, and back dating software license agreements" that led to a
false doubling of its sales over two quarters. The former president and
the
ex-VP of sales agreed to civil fines and other penalties; they will also
face criminal charges for fraud and insider trading.
Acrobatic Accounting Claims Another Victim
Enron and Tyco have to make room on the podium for Computer Associates,
whose share price dropped 13.5 percent after Moody's lowered the
company's
bond rating. They did that because its cash flow was off 25% from last
year.
Unfair, says CA CFO Ira Zar: that happened because some big customers
prepaid their license fees the year before which should be a Good Thing,
no?
Yes, but. Mr. Z left something out; Moody's (and investors) look at CA's
cash flow as a measure of its performance because it has so twisted its
standard financial reports (balance sheet, income statement) as to render
them virtually unintelligible even by experts. About a year and a half
ago,
CA adopted pro-forma accounting, a method that according to the article
lets
them "double-count some sales that CA has already made and makes the
company's profits appear far larger than they do under standard
accounting".
CA is still required by law to file financial statements using standard
GAAP
principles, but to avoid that inconvenience it "changed its contracts
with
customers that made the standard results essentially meaningless".
Having
now succeeded in that effort, they wonder why nobody believes them any
more.
Arthur Andersen to the white courtesy telephone, please.
Network Associates Sued Over Censorship
"The customer will not publish reviews of this product without prior
consent
from Network Associates Inc." That is the text that appears on media and
until recently on the Web site for McAfee Virus Scan, Gauntlet firewall,
and
other NA products. In 1999 a reviewer for Network World received a
demand
based on that license clause for a retraction of an article on firewall
software. The state of New York is now suing NA for infringement of
users'
First Amendment rights; the company through its general counsel responds
that NA has "the right to set the terms of its license" and the state may
not interfere. But just in case, they're hedging their bets by saying
the
intent was merely to ensure that reviews covered up-to-date products, and
the Web site now says users may not publish "tests regarding this product
without first verifying with NA that you possess the correct product for
the
test", or you may be guilty of "misrepresentation or deceptive practice".
Prior notification would of course also alert NA that you should be sent
a
specially tailored product to ace the tests.
Letters, They Get Letters
The Tunney Act requires the court to allow a period for public comment in
anti-trust cases. A rough tabulation of those received in the Microsoft
case shows:
30,000 - total comments received
15,000 - opposed to the proposed DOJ settlement
7,500 - in favor of the settlement
7,500 - did not refer to the settlement
2,900 - "containing a degree of substance" (compared to e.g. "Bill
sucks")
2,800 - form letters with "essentially identical text"
1 - "pornography"
Healthy Chocolate Patented
Candy-maker Mars received patent 6,312,753 for a method of roasting cocoa
beans that results in "improving the health of a mammal". Which mammal
was
not specified, but it probably includes the species that buys chocolate.
Anyway the process raises the level of cocoa polyphenols, said to work
against "cancer, tumors, periodontal disease, gingivitis,
atherosclerosis,
and hypertension" as well as providing an antiviral antibacterial
response.
Suggested uses for the new medicine are cookies and brownies. Doctor
Alice
B. Toklas would no doubt be pleased.
A Cellphone In Every Pot
The US may be approaching the point where everybody who could possibly
want
a cellphone has one. The number of users is still growing, but less and
less
each year. In 1999 it was up 26 percent, in 2001 17%, and this year's
prediction is for a 14% rise, to 126 million subscribers from 69 M at the
end of 1998.
Department of Chutzpah
British Co. Claims Hyperlink Patent
WHITE PLAINS, N.Y. (AP) -- British Telecommunications PLC claimed in
federal
court Monday that it owns the patent on hyperlinks -- the single-click
conveniences that underlie the Web -- and should get paid for their daily
use by millions of people.
The patent application was filed in 1976 and granted in 1989 according to
the full story, so its terms have to be strained to fit: for example, you
have to consider mouse buttons as a "keypad".
CERT, DoD Issue SNMP Warning
A somewhat unusual collaboration between the CERT computer security
center
and the Department of Defense resulted in a joint announcement of a flaw
related to the Simple Network Management Protocol that could allow
hackers
to take over computers or routers. The story says the flaw was
discovered
last summer by Finnish researchers; CERT determined that products from
3Com,
Cisco, H-P, Microsoft and others were vulnerable and notified them then,
but
that the response was so underwhelming (even after CERT sent letters to
their CEOs) that it went public this week when reports emerged that
hackers
were using the flaw to hijack machines. Basically there seems to be
nothing
wrong with the SNMP protocol for remote system operation, but some
devices
allow such operation without need and without controls against misuse.
Comcast Is Watching You
An AP story on today's wire says the cable company is recording and
storing
(for an amount of time it declined to disclose) which Web pages each of
its
customers in Detroit, Delaware and Virginia visits and will soon expand
the
practice nationwide. The company responded there was no need to tell
subscribers of the change since its privacy statement states it may
collect
such data, and that the purpose is to configure its proxy server to store
the most popular pages. Inktomi, whose software is used by Comcast for
the
purpose, says that tying sites visited to individuals is unnecessary for
server balancing, and that its software may also be used to collect
passwords and credit card numbers. Analysts noted that once the data had
been collected, it would become available to law enforcement agencies and
parties in lawsuits, even if that was not Comcast's intention in
collecting
it. I wonder if Comcast uses SNMP...
Nvidia Suspected Of Accounting Shenanigans
Enron didn't invent dishonesty, they just made it popular; so other
companies' potential pecuniary peccadilloes have been popping up in
papers
ever since. (I wonder if I can work Peter Piper in there somehow;
naahh.)
Anyway Nvidia, the Santa Clara maker of graphics cards and specialty
chips,
is now under the microscope of the SEC and federal criminal prosecutors
for
illegally shifting expenses around and recording cash reserves to dress
up
the net results for a desired quarter. The company is said to be (until
yesterday, when it sank 10% in trading after hours) one of the last high-
flyers on the Valley, with sales up a hundred-fold in the last four
years.
IBM Is Too
Not quite so serious, with no criminal investigation underway, but Big
Blue
may have fudged the $340 million sale of its optical transceiver business
to
JDS Uniphase last year, booking the revenue under ordinary sales as
though
it were a bunch of disk drives instead of listing it as a one-time event.
The deal was not even mentioned until yesterday in passing at a
conference
call with financial analysts.
Publish Or Patent?
A number of companies with new ideas that would be too expensive or time-
consuming to patent right away are publishing them, often at a site
(IP.com)
set up for that purpose, to establish "prior art" as a defense against
anyone else who might try to claim the concept. Domestic patents are
said
to take an average of 25 months from filing to issuance, and run up a tab
of
about $15,000 ($50K for international patents), while publishing on
IP.com
costs $155 per document.
Patent Models Required
Not to pose for artists at the USPO though; up till 1880, inventors were
required to submit scale models of their inventions as part of the
application. In that year the requirement was waived for all inventions
except flying machines and perpetual-motion devices. After the Wright
brothers proved the former was possible, the rule was reduced to just
require PM machine models. A number of the 19th century models have
survived fire and budget cuts and were recently put on display at a
museum
in Virginia.
Quote Of The Day
"It seems to me that if your side has access to it, then the other side,
frankly, should have access to it."
-Judge Kollar-Kotelly, ordering Microsoft to allow review of the
Windows
source code by the nine states that have not signed on to the proposed
DOJ
settlement
Cruel And Unusual Copyrights?
The Constitution prohibits cruel and unusual punishments without
specifying
what they are; the courts have taken on the task of drawing the line.
Similarly, the US Supreme Court has decided to look into the authority of
Congress to issue copyrights and patents "for limited times", as the
length
of copyright protection has grown from 14 years plus another 14 if the
author was still alive to over 100 years. The lawsuit, originally
regarded
by some as a "fanciful academic exercise", challenges the 1998 Sonny Bono
Copyright Term Extension Act that extended the duration of existing
rights
by 20 years at the demand of Disney and other large publishers and
copyright
holders. The plaintiffs lost 2-1 in the DC Circuit last year, and the
decision by the Supremes to accept the case took many by surprise. It
could
have a profound effect on the present balance between copyright holders
and
those, especially on the Internet, who seek to use the works.
Be Stings Microsoft
Remember BeOS? Well, the company is gone as an independent entity,
acquired
by Palm; but it has sued MS for destroying its business "through anti-
competitive practices". The complaint alleges that MS imposed deals on
PC
makers that barred them from installing more than one operating system on
any machine that used Windows.
Who is bringing the copyright case to the supremes?
Or, is there a link for that story. It would be too good to be true
for the Bono law to be rolled back, but i can hope.
The article says the plaintiffs in Eldred vs. Ashcroft are "a coalition
of
publishers and individuals"; Lawrence Lessig of Stanford Law filed their
USSC brief. It's on the docket as 01-618.
CA Sinks A Sixth
Computer Associates stock fell 17 percent on reports the company is being
investigated by the FBI over its reporting of revenue, not a good thing
to
have published about you these days. A Federal criminal inquiry into
possible overstatement of net profits for the purpose of boosting share
prices and executives' bonuses is known to be underway, but a CA
spokesbot
says they have no information on the new trouble.
EU Proposes Restricted Law On Software Patents
Unlike US and Japanese law which permit a wide range of software
business-
method patents (like one-click buying), the European Commission's
proposal
would allow coverage only for "software applications of a technical
nature"
and none for business methods. The MS-backed Business Standards Alliance
said the plan "departs from what we had hoped to see"; it may also raise
some interesting international conflict-of-law issues for ideas that are
protected in some places, not in others, and sold everywhere.
all from Ron Sipherd ronks@well.com
Thanks, Ron!!!!
~terry
Thu, Apr 4, 2002 (16:05)
#68
ronks:
The Modular OS As Death Sentence
Microsoft is reported deeply concerned at the possibility it may be ordered
to offer a core Windows system capable of being packaged by PC makers with
third-party add-ons like browsers and media players. The article observes
that while the appeals court affirmed MS used a dozen or so illegal means to
protect its monopoly status, the "commingling of code" was the only one the
defendant asked them to reconsider. Even though the court declined to do
so, MS continues to fight the battle. The proposed settlement with the DOJ
and some states would allow Microsoft to bundle all the features it wants
into the OS, but permit their desktop shortcut icons to be hidden. An AOL
VP testified recently that MS would retain substantial power to coerce PC
makers not to hide the icons, and said there is a feature in Windows XP that
urges users "to sweep competing icons off the screen after 14 days", which
he said blocks "meaningful customization of the desktop experience by anyone
except Microsoft". A Microsoft attorney countered that the proposed remedy
would fail to create competition, except between different "customized
versions of Windows".
MS President Quits
The president and chief operating officer of Microsoft, Richard Belluzzo,
announced he will leave that position next month. Mr. B came to MS about 3
years ago; before that he was CEO at Silicon Graphics and an exec at H-P.
He says he does not presently have another job lined up but wants to "run a
business and be a chief executive", not a likely chance at Microsoft where
Messrs. Gates and Ballmer have the best corner offices and the power;
especially after a coming corporate reorg that will offer more autonomy to
business unit heads under CEO Mr. Big B.
New Release Due
Bill's wife Melinda is reported to be expecting "Gates 3.0" sometime in
October according to a "family spokesman". They now have a 5-year old
daughter and a son, 2. There is absolutely no reason to believe the news is
related to Mr. Belluzzo's sudden departure.
~terry
Thu, Apr 4, 2002 (16:05)
#69
Baby XP?
~terry
Mon, Apr 8, 2002 (14:25)
#70
Taxi Ride As Relationship Business
Most city trips in a taxi are pretty anonymous: you go somewhere, hand over
the money, and walk away. Fine, so long as you're not short on cash and you
don't leave your umbrella behind in the cab. Patent 6,347,739 addresses
those concerns as well as the driver's over being a rolling piggybank. It
consists of a wireless modem and a credit-card reader attached to the taxi
meter; you get a record of your expense and the ID number of the cab in case
you left something behind, and the driver has less cash on board.
Lights! Action! Credit!
More and more institutions are issuing credit cards these days and people
are carrying multiple plastic. So when they open their wallet (to pay the
cabdriver, say) they see a card from every bank where they had an account,
every university they took a class at, every jail they were paroled from
maybe. Rising to the top of the stack is a challenge attacked by patent
6,325,284; a card using this idea flashes and/or makes sounds when it senses
"a change in ambient light, pressure, or noise" and emits "different tones
or phrases" and "intermittent pulses of light ... produced according to a
predetermined pattern". The idea is for the card to call attention to
itself, not (presumably) to antagonize other theater patrons or whatever.
But the article observes that the inventors (who include security guru Bruce
Schneier and Priceline.com patent-holder Jay Walker) may license their
invention to many institutions, so every time you go to buy something you
could face "a wallet full of flashing, beeping plastic". There may also be
prior art: in Tolkien's _Hobbit_ Bilbo tries to filch a troll's purse.
"''Ere, 'oo are you?' it squeaked as it left the pocket."
Microsoft Reform School Extended
Classes in how to write secure code for MS programmers were supposed to run
till the end of February, after a series of nasty hits like Code Red and
Nimda to its best corporate customers led many to wonder if its software was
safe to use. Well, it's April and the re-education camps continue; the
current phase may wrap up this month, though executives and PR types insist
the new mindset will remain forever yadda yadda. The program director
acknowledged that the students "initially showed some resistance to the
project, but in the end the experience of seeing offending code on a giant
screen in a large auditorium proved humbling". Skepticism remains
especially among proponents of open-source software, who observe the absence
of public scrutiny leaves the effectiveness of the training unknown until
the next reported incident. Speaking of which, the FBI published a survey
they conducted with large corporations and government agencies that
indicates "about 90 percent detected computer security attacks in the last
year but only 34 percent reported those attacks to authorities".
ronks@well.com Ron Sipherd wrote this
~terry
Fri, Apr 12, 2002 (07:15)
#71
ronks:
Hailstorm Over, Skies Clearing
Microsoft's "My Services" initiative (originally code-named Hailstorm) to
give everyone a kind of roving identity so they could log on anywhere to get
e-mail and buy stuff, with personal data securely stored on MS servers (I
hear you laugh, but that was the plan) for global use is reported to be
getting a quiet burial. Or according to Microsoft general manager Charles
Fitzgerald, "We're sort of in the Hegelian synthesis of figuring out where
the products go once they've encountered the reality of the marketplace."
Well, you can see why he's a manager; anyone who talks like that is
obviously incapable of doing useful work. The reality seems to have come in
two doses. One is foreign restrictions on transborder data flow especially
in Europe, which limits the transfer of personal information between
countries. In the US there was the unexpectedly (to MS) stiff resistance of
companies to letting The Octopus, or to a lesser extent any third party,
maintain sensitive data about their customers. Despite MS' earlier
predictions they would sign up vendors right and left, the article says
"after nine months of intense effort the company was unable to find any
partner willing to commit itself to the program". One possible Hegelian
synthesis, or maybe just a way to salvage a few bucks from the effort, is to
license My Services technology to companies so they can privately maintain
their own customer info.
YACIF
Yet another consortium is formed; this time IBM, Microsoft, and VeriSign
will join forces to create WS-Security, described as a set of extensions to
SOAP (Simple Object Access Protocol). The goal is to persuade companies to
share consumer, product, inventory etc. data for easier interchange. A sort
of non-proprietary EDI, I think, so that for example one business's
inventory system can query a supplier for items the buyer is running low on
and place an order over the Web. Might use some leftover MS technology and
staff from the late Hailstorm project too, come to think of it.
DoubleClick Tombstone Up
They're not dead; a tombstone is what they call those legal notice ads
packed with tiny print. "All persons in the United States who have had any
information about their computers or about them gathered by DoubleClick as a
result of their Internet activity or who have had DoubleClick cookies placed
upon their computers or browsers" are told "This Notice contains important
information that may affect your rights." Namely that the class action on
privacy has been settled, DoubleClick promises to change its wicked ways
(for example, their cookies will now expire in a mere five years), and the
plaintiff's lawyers get $1,800,000 for their pains. Of which the actual
plaintiffs will receive $0,000,000. Details on this fabulous offer
available at . Call now!
~terry
Thu, Apr 25, 2002 (20:05)
#72
ronks:
AOL Time Warner Loses $54 Billion In Quarter
Their colossal flop seems due mostly to the AOL division whose new
subscriptions have leveled off and whose ad revenue has plummeted; meanwhile
the movie and other old-line segments of the company, "once dismissed by
dot-com acolytes as stodgy relics, have steadily forged ahead". The CEO-
elect Richard Parsons, who earlier "irked some investors" by observing that
an obsession with individual quarters was shortsighted and suggesting a
longer-term view, seems to have capitulated and says his new focus is on
avoiding bad quarters. The current whopper may in fact be part of the plan:
by taking an immense one-time charge, Mr. Parsons can get that out of the
way and make the subsequent accounting reports look nicer. I mean it is
pretty hard to do much worse than losing $54 billion net in three months.
The company is also trying to get people to stop looking at standard GAAP
measures like revenue and profit, and track "ebitda" instead. Even so, their
expected "earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization" is
now down to 7 percent from an earlier predicted 10%. Time to call in Arthur
Andersen to pretty up the books..
~terry
Fri, May 3, 2002 (13:35)
#73
Busy Techie (ronks) Fri May 3 '02 (10:54) 29 lines
Why They Left
Sun Microsystems is said to be planning a long-range effort, internally
named N1, that led Scott McNealy to tell senior execs recently they should
either plan to stay around for five years' minimum, or go now. Many went.
He has also begun thinking Long Thoughts about corporate directions after
joining GE's board and mulling the management philosophy of its former CEO
Jack Welch. One of the goals of N1 is to reduce the company's reliance on
hardware, which presently accounts for about 70% of its business but is
evolving into a low-margin commodity operation. N1, which will surely have
a catchier name when it's announced on May 22, is Sun's strategy to build
the Internet computer, described as "a combination of hardware and software
that will in effect combine the entire computing resources of a company ...
to work as one vast computer", meshing mainframes, servers, and desktop
units from different manufacturers running different operating systems.
No Easy Cure For Sex, Say Researchers
The National Research Council has released its study "Youth, Pornography and
the Internet" on how to shield children from bad things on the Web. Their
conclusion in a nutshell is there's no simple answer. "Though some might
wish otherwise, no single approach - technical, legal, economic, educational
- will be sufficient", they say, and there is no "'quick fix' to the
challenge of pornography on the Internet". They observe for example that
kiddie filters "can be highly effective ... if the inability to access large
amounts of appropriate material is acceptable".
~terry
Mon, May 13, 2002 (10:48)
#74
Busy Techie (ronks) Fri May 10 '02 (11:24) 42 lines
High Speed To The Wall
The current (May 2002) issue of Scientific American has an article on the
future of "ultrawideband wireless" data transmission, particularly over
short distances. The technology is based on the premise stated in the
article that "Many in the developed world already spend most of the day
within 10 meters of some kind of wired link to the Internet", so the field
of greatest payback for vendors is in spatial capacity rather than raw
bandwidth. Spatial capacity is a measure of bit rates over area, similar to
how light fixtures are measured in lumens per square meter. UWB transmitters
operating at 100 megabits per second, about today's level, really shine (so
to speak) at spatial capacity and low power drain per the following matchup:
Power, Kilobits/
milliwatts Sq Meter
802.11b 50 1
Bluetooth 1 30
802.11a 200 55
UWB 0.2 1,000
UWB employs a different form of transmission from your father's radio (or
your kid's cell phone); it has no carrier frequency. Instead it consists of
brief pulses over a wide range of frequencies, varying in amplitude,
polarity, timing, and other characteristics to create Fourier approximations
of square waves. This factor renders it more likely to interfere with other
wireless devices, and in turn to suffer interference from them as well as
from hair dryers and the like. (At present there seems no great danger that
hair dryers will spontaneously turn on in the neighborhood of a wireless
LAN, but when they start to get their own IP numbers, look out; we'll
probably have to go back to fanning our heads with ostrich feathers or
whatever people used in olden days.) Anyway, the likelihood of UWB being a
source of interference is minimized by the devices' short range and low
power: a 0.2 milliwatt UWB transmitter generates about 1/3000 the radiation
of a 600 mw cell phone for example. Engineers are working meanwhile on
electronic filters to address interference, multipath distortion, and
similar input problems. The article concludes by noting that in 1976,
before the advent of short-hop communications like cell phones, "telephone
providers in New York City could handle only 545 mobile telephone customers
at a time". That has changed.
~terry
Wed, Jun 12, 2002 (12:56)
#75
Broadband For The Masses
Only 7 percent of US homes today have high-speed Internet access, per the
FCC. Cost is the primary reason; not just the monthly fees but also the
expense of wiring the "last mile" to the house, and within ye olde domicile
itself. Two guys in a garage (really; just six blocks from Apple's
birthplace and probably not far from Messrs. H & P's house) have figured out
a way to modify the code on 802.11b Wi-Fi circuit boards that allows for
wireless high-bandwidth data transmission up to twenty miles, thus
eliminating much of the need for DSL and cable Internet connections. Their
company is called Etherlinx and with a whopping $200,000 of investor money
already serves about a dozen paying customers in their Oakland trials.
Larger companies have expressed interest, but most are said to be waiting on
a new wireless standard under development called 802.16 that may address
long-range transmission in a more buttoned-down official format.
Apple's 12-Step Plan
They intend to run a series of ads featuring people against a plain white
background talking about they swore off Windows and embraced the Macintosh
faith. One calls his MS usage like "being stuck in a bad relationship".
Steve Jobs sounded almost pleading with Mr. Bill not to take offense, saying
"What's a few marketing points between friends? It wouldn't matter to them,
and we would be eternally grateful." This may call for a new definition of
"friends" and "eternally".
Ron Sipherd (ronks@well.com)
~terry
Wed, Jun 19, 2002 (07:45)
#76
It Takes An iVillage
The network of women's sites has undergone a makeover: two-thirds of the
staff has been liposuctioned out, "flamboyant" CEO Candice Carpenter was
replaced two years ago by a man, and instead of paying AOL and MSN to carry
their content they may start to charge $5 a month for viewing privileges.
They have also branched out into a line of branded "nutraceutical" pills,
books with not very liberated titles like "How To Find and Keep A Man" and
"Heirloom Recipes", and a "$35 six-week online sexual self-improvement
course" which provided $100,000 in revenue. (Exactly how it improved the
2857.14 women who took it was not described, nor did the article suggest a
need for lab assistants.) One thing remains, however: they have yet to make
money. They had $60 million revenue in 2001, down from $76 M the year before
and another net loss, though reportedly narrowing.
Ron Sipherd, ronks@well.com. Thanks Ron!
~terry
Mon, Jul 8, 2002 (14:16)
#77
Ron Sipherd ronks@well.com :
The Empire Strikes Upwards
The second generation of the Itanium CPU, evidently much larger than its
parents, is to become available today; it represents according to the news
story Intel's latest attempt to crack the data center ceiling. While Intel
chips are in 85 percent of servers today, that's mostly in smaller ones like
print and Web servers. About half the $49 billion annual revenue for
servers goes to bigger machines, mostly from Sun, that drive back office
operations like manufacturing and finance, and Intel wants a piece of that.
Even the best hardware will take time to be accepted at those levels though,
largely due to the cost of converting applications, so results are not
expected to show up for a while.
There They Go Again
The US government, who brought us Ada and kept OSI on life support long
after it had flatlined everywhere else, is set to develop a uniform standard
for information interchange. A bill introduced in the Senate would create
the "Office of Electronic Government"; despite its alarming name, it's not
intended replace those pesky humans in the legislature with machines, but to
set up a bureau to standardize the format of data both publicly available
and for internal use. Chances are they will settle on XML, but that still
leaves a myriad of details like whether you call a data item ,
, , and so forth. Even within the Defense
Department they have not decide what a name is: first and last, first and
middle initial and last, or all spelled out. Expect a long costly effort,
followed by long costly hearings on why it failed.
~terry
Mon, Jul 22, 2002 (12:34)
#78
Busy Techie (ronks) Mon Jul 22 '02 (09:24) 45 lines
Real Challenge
RealNetworks is expected to announce new server software that can distribute
audio and video files in Windows Media as well as Real's own and other
formats. Although the Helix product was developed with "clean-room"
techniques, Real says it would not be surprised if Microsoft sued them over
its proprietary streaming media features. Licensing of Helix is a variant
of open-source called "community source": the source code is freely
available, but a fee is required for development of Helix-based commercial
products. The article says the Java license was a model; it also sounds
like TrollTech's licensing strategy for its Qt GUI interface software.
Although the RealOne player has the lead on client machines for now, it has
to watch its heels: Jupiter says RealOne has 29.1% market share, Windows
Media is right behind with 28.2%, and Apple's QuickTime has 12.1%. But if
Real can persuade Sun and IBM to bundle Helix with their OS, much as
Microsoft did with Windows Media, it could get a significant (almost said
real) boost.
Some Guys And The Future
According to some guy named John Schwartz (), some futurist named
Howard Rheingold () predicts that wireless phones and messagers could
lead to a major new social phenomenon that he calls "smart mobs": groups
acting in concert, perhaps without even realizing it. For example, word of
a party or demonstration spreads out over the devices like ripples in a pond
and people converge on the event. In Finland a cooperative called Aula runs
a club for its 500 members whose "radio-frequency ID tags" not only let them
in but also let others know they're there; its goal is to supplement the
virtual community with a real meeting space; sort of like the Well picnic.
The Internet Is Not Dead
Another article says that despite the flight of investors, and the recent
shakeup at Time Warner AOL that suggested the print media has ousted the
webby usurper, the online world has shown considerable growth down at the
consumer level where the revenue comes from. However, the reality is
shaping up to be much different from the entrepreneurs' visions of a few
year back; "the Internet has turned out to be more of a souped-up telephone
than a delivery vehicle for media and entertainment". The story notes that
61 percent of adult Americans use the Net today, nearly a third more than in
2000, and e-mail is the most popular use.
Thanks Ron!
~terry
Thu, Jul 25, 2002 (14:39)
#79
(ronks) Thu Jul 25 '02 (08:54) 48 lines
Got Laptop?
Denver airport officials put up the sign above at security check stations
after 95 computers were left behind by harried travelers in the month of
February. Increased scrutiny of airline passengers since 9/11 means they
have to take the PC out of its bag and show the National Guard it can play
Solitaire; in the rush to gather raincoats, suitcases, explain why you
packed forbidden nail clippers and other instruments of mass destruction,
many forget to put the machine back in the bag. Seattle-Tacoma airport had
330 of them left behind in the seven months after they started inspections,
and 204 in just the last three.
It Isn't Easy Being Green
Computer Associates spokesperns are at great pains today to explain that the
ten million dollars the company gave Sam Wyly to drop his proxy fight to
elect five members to the board, thus leaving shareholders with no choice
other than management's pick, is not greenmail. They seem to feel the need
to say that because everybody outside the company thinks that's what it was.
.Net 101
Called by one participant ".Net For Dummies", Microsoft brass made an
elaborate presentation to reporters and analysts to explain what the vastly
trumpeted initiative is about, two years after it was introduced. The
article seemed to suggest it's still not entirely clear; according to VP Jim
Allchin, "It really is about plumbing and concrete and protocols", yet no
plumbers or foundation contractors attended the session. From the story,
it's also about fighting IBM, Oracle, Sun, and a host of smaller firms for
control of the supposedly big-potential Web services business; it's about
persuading customers to rent software rather than buy licenses; it's about
ending the era of "open computing" and the "free exchange of digital
information" through a group called the Trusted Computing Platform Alliance
that MS seeks to influence to make PC builders include self-limiting
circuits to limit the media they play and the code they will run.
(Persuading people this brave new world of renting and crippled computers is
an improvement sounds like a major challenge, for anyone but a monopoly.)
And it's about a new "communications server" called Greenwich, a new SQL
server called Yukon, a Windows Media Center to display ".Net-style
information to the television in the living room" (so the whole family can
crunch databases in the evening?); last and greatest it's about Longhorn,
the new OS two years off that will be just better than anything ever before
etc. One gets the feeling from reading the article that the reporter was
not persuaded.
~terry
Mon, Aug 12, 2002 (12:31)
#80
(ronks) Mon Aug 12 '02 (08:37) 19 lines
Linux At The Edges
As competition develops for its Solaris-based servers from rivals like IBM,
and cost conscious buyers move to clustered Linux systems running on old or
commodity-priced hardware, not to mention the slumparoonie in the dot-com
and telecom industries, Sun Microsystems has seen its revenues fall by about
a third. One apparent response is to rethink its strategy of pushing thin
clients and fat centralized servers. Microsoft has graciously, if
unwittingly, sent an opportunity their way; the new MS policy of forcing
corporate customers to rent software seems to be leading many to look to
Linux as a way to regain control over their systems and costs. So Sun will
introduce its new LX50 server today, a $2800 model running a 1.4 GHz Intel
CPU which the article compares to a $3700 Dell/RedHat unit. Analysts note
Sun's timing is good, since the movement to Linux is still new and IBM and
H-P, though pioneers, don't have a lock on the market. They also speculate
Sun's strategy may be to retain its high-margin Solaris servers at the core
while promoting Linux units "at the edge of the network and in desktop
applications".
~terry
Mon, Aug 19, 2002 (16:18)
#81
ronks rides again.
iPhone On The Way?
An article in today's paper suggests that Newton II may be on Apple's
drawing board, despite the role of its daddy in ending CEO John Sculley's
career there. The new device, whose existence is largely denied by Mr.
Sculley's predecessor/successor Steve Jobs, would be both a cell phone and a
PDA. While the present Apple management is mum about such plans, the story
notes how the foundation is being laid with a license that allows the iPod's
software (bought from a third party, Pixo) to be used on a second product
and numerous handheld-friendly features in the new Mac OS X. Such as (takes
deep breath) chat, e-mail, an address book, a calendar, automatic
networking, data synchronization, handwriting recognition, and additions to
the Sherlock information-search tool that include restaurants, movie times,
and airline schedules. Apple faces a changed world since Newton I: on one
hand the cost of components has declined greatly and the concept is no
longer so new or risible; on the other, the playing field is already crowded
with competitors like Motorola, Microsoft, Nokia, and Palm, and startups
Handspring and Danger.
Mist-On On The Way
Patent number 20020088475 was issued to Texas inventor Thomas Laughlin for
his "system for coating the human skin". The device, a sort of walk-in
closet with nozzles, can spray the victim er client with suntan lotion,
insect repellent, instant tanning cream, "skin bleaches" (presumably not at
the same time as the instant tanning glop), "decontamination agents, muscle
relaxants, and wrinkle treatments". Also with something called "massage
aides", which appear not to be tiny large-handed homunculi but scented oil.
After which I imagine a real person performs the rubdown, though Mr.
Laughlin may be working on the Iron Masseuse; stay tuned.
Video Spam On The Way
Talkway Communications of Fremont CA has unveiled a software product for
sending full-motion sound-and-video e-mail messages that don't require "any
special software" on the recipient's end. The product, VmailTalk, is said
to have "positive effects for customer acquisition"; soon spammers will be
able to show just how much they can enlarge any desired organs, with
animation yet (and make them talk too, another boon). Science marches on.
Vanilla Ice Cream In Path Of Monster?
The Toho Company of Japan, owner of the "Godzilla" name and character, has
threatened to sue David Linabury, host of davezilla.com, over his "use of
the 'zilla' formative" and his "emaciated cartoon dragon" for infringement
of their rights. Mr. Linabury has refused and offered to battle Godzilla
(in court) over it. Toho reps decline to comment, but with hundred of other
sites using the dreaded formative including mozilla.org, the monster and his
lawyers may be gearing up for a busy season.
~terry
Fri, Aug 23, 2002 (19:32)
#82
ronks rides yet again.
Novell Up
The software and services company reports a quarterly profit of $10 million
compared to a $19 M loss a year earlier, and a 13% rise in sales.
Off The Clock
A story in yesterday's paper covered much the same ground (though faster) as
an article in the August issue of Scientific American: asynchronous computer
circuits. In CPU chips today, a central clock sets the pace for almost all
operations, like the drum-beater in a Roman galley ship. Besides providing
the manufacturer with bragging rights (2 gigahertz! 2.2 gigahertz! 2.22 GHz!
and so forth), the clock sets the pace so the operations of data fetching,
calculation, storage etc. in different sections can interoperate. This
uniformity comes at a price, though: up to a third of the chip's electrical
power may be devoted to the clock and its circuitry, a particular problem on
battery-powered devices; the clock always runs, generating waste heat even
when the computer is idle; and the fixed frequency of the clock generates
radio signals in tune with its harmonics that can interfere with wireless
devices. Equally important, the clock forces faster sections of the chip to
operate at the pace of the slowest component. By contrast, an asynchronous
chip is more like a bucket brigade; if you are ready to pass the bucket onto
the next person downstream and they are ready to receive it, you can do so
without regard to some central metronome's pace. Of course, this approach
poses its own problems: CPU clocks weren't invented just to slow everybody
down. The two main issues identified to date are (1) determining when all
the components of the predecessor task have been marshaled so that the next
task can begin, known as the Rendezvous; and (2) arbitrating which of two
requests (say for shared memory) is to receive precedence. The SA article
goes into mind-numbing length on the resolution of these issues to date,
including a 14th century parable about an ass placed exactly between two
equal piles of hay who starves from inability to decide. Zzzzzz.. Oh yes,
the story; anyway, more info for the terminally curious is available at
.
~terry
Mon, Aug 26, 2002 (14:46)
#83
Thanks Ron!
Now We Know
When the Arizona attorney general's office shut down Scottsdale Internet
merchant CP Direct and inventoried its assets, they uncovered a number of
facts about the world of e-mail marketing. The company was apparently a
major source of those annoying ads for pills to increase the size of the,
ah, male organ. The treatment was found to consist of pumpkin seeds,
sarsaparilla, and "oyster meat" (for some reason in quotes, maybe they
swapped in clam meat, no wonder it didn't work - never mind). Anyway their
profits were wonderfully enlarged, probably since the bottles they sold for
$60 cost them $2.45; the company's property included "$30 million in luxury
real estate and a herd of Mercedes-Benzes, Rolls-Royces, and a Lamborghini".
~terry
Tue, Sep 3, 2002 (09:52)
#84
Ron Sipherd ronks@well.com writes:
The Next Twenty Years
The effect on Social Security of the changing US demographic over the coming
decades has been endlessly debated, but its larger effect on the economy is
less well known. The nonpartisan Aspen Institute has just released a report
comparing the previous two decades with the next two. A couple conclusions
stand out, with most workers of 2022 already born; growth in the work force
will be considerably slower, and disparities in income will widen as fewer
skilled workers are available for more openings and fewer unskilled jobs are
available. From 1980 to 2000, the baby boom and the influx of women workers
pushed the workforce up 50%; by 2020, that figure should rise by only 16% as
boomers retire and women's figures cease to bulge [must find better way of
phrasing that]. The number of educated US workers grew by 19% since 1980,
but will only rise 4% in 2020, and the pool of age 25-54 Americans may not
grow at all. Potential effects of the diminished US labor growth are:
- a slowdown in the annual growth of the GDP by up to a percent;
- increased wage premiums for skilled applicants;
- increased reliance on foreign workers (who accounted in 1996-2001 for 89%
of US growth in workers 25-54, and 53% of those with advanced degrees),
especially for occupations not requiring physical relocation to the US;
- a rise in on-the-job training for needed skills.
~terry
Fri, Sep 6, 2002 (17:28)
#85
Rather Ripped Napster
Ripped as in R.I.P. The music-sharing company has been inactive for over a
year, since a Federal court declared it abetted the infringement of
copyrighted material. It entered Chapter 11 bankruptcy three months ago and
planned to take a $9 million buyout from German media conglomerate and part-
owner Bertelsmann; but that plan was just blocked by the court since
Napster's CEO Conrad Hilbers had "divided loyalty" as a former Bertelsmann
executive. Mr. Hilbers responded that the company would move to Chapter 7
(liquidation) proceedings. Then he laid off all his staff and quit; this is
not considered a good sign for the future of the business.
Time Slices, Like An Arrow
The September issue of Scientific American is devoted to the concept of
time: its physics, psychology, etc. One article describes divisions of time
from one attosecond (a billionth of a billionth of a second, but still lots
longer than a unit of Planck time, which is 10 **-43 second) on up to a
billion years and the evaporation of the last black hole in 10 **100 years.
Anyway, it introduces a new measure akin to the Standard Human Hair or the
area of Rhode Island: 1/350 of a second, or the amount of time in which
Americans (presumably in the aggregate) eat one slice of pizza.
Thanks Ron!
~terry
Mon, Sep 9, 2002 (14:02)
#86
Busy Techie (ronks) Mon Sep 9 '02 (10:32) 18 lines
Promoting Open Source Can Get You Fired
At least it seems to have gotten Bruce Perens fired from H-P. Before the
merger with Compaq, Mr. Perens was H-P's GNU Linux evangelist, urging
customers to consider it and then letting the company's sales force explain
why H-P was the best choice for Linux products. After the merger, H-P
became "the largest single buyer of Windows for personal computers" and
hence at the mercy of the giant of Redmond who has funded a front er an
"industry group" called the Initiative For Software Choice whose goal is to
fight "legislative proposals, government statements, and studies" that
support using open-source software. (Studies even? Once somebody starts to
study the issue they become a potential enemy of the people evidently.) Mr.
Perens was informed ten days ago that he was terminated. In related news,
market-research firm StatMarket has pronounced Netscape effectively dead,
with less that 3 percent share compared with Internet Explorer's 96%, all
achieved you may be sure by free and unconstrained public choice.
~terry
Wed, Sep 11, 2002 (11:01)
#87
A Step Forward, A Step Sideways
H-P researchers say new molecular-level chip fabrication techniques,
described as "an ultra-high-tech waffle iron" (hold the syrup), should lead
within the next few years to memory densities of over a trillion bits per
square centimeter. Today's memory is said to max out at around half a
billion bits. They anticipate making wires within the circuits no more than
an atom wide. The company just received a patent on aspects of the
technology, which is also being pursued by IBM and probably others.
Meanwhile Intel says its new processors will include "advanced security
features" which create a sort of virtual vault for data secure from hackers;
the "LaGrande" technology is intended to work with Microsoft's Palladium
security software initiative, and will also prevent you from sharing music,
video and other files that the suits don't want you to pass around.
Thank you, Ron.
~terry
Wed, Sep 11, 2002 (11:44)
#88
ronks is busy today.
Hands Down
IDC reports worldwide sales of handheld PDAs fell 9.3% last quarter to 2.6
million, the second decline in a row. Palm is still the leader followed by
HP-Compaq, Sony, Handspring, and "Hi-Tech Wealth" of China.
~terry
Tue, Sep 24, 2002 (12:40)
#89
ronks rides again.
Poor Software Foundation Holds Fundraiser
As Richard Stallman likes to point out "Free software is free as in freedom,
not as in free beer". Companies make money selling it even if they don't
have the same ownership rights as Microsoft and Apple over their creations;
just ask Red Hat and IBM. But that doesn't mean they're putting much of it
back into the Free Software Foundation, especially in the current business
downturn, and the FSF has expenses even if most of its technical work is
done by volunteers. So it held a benefit dinner and passed the hat last
week at the NY apartment of a GNU software company founder, raising $6,000
from the 25 guests.
Fat Pipes At Post Office
One of the largest conduits for the delivery of digital media is - the US
Postal Service, thanks largely to the growing industry of video on demand
and DVDs. A company like Netflix who mails out movies for rent or sale to
consumers accounts for an estimated 1500 terabytes of data a day, compared
to around 2000-4000 terabytes a day for the Internet.
Peregrine Lays An Egg
Business-software maker Peregrine Systems filed for chapter 11 bankruptcy
and sold off its Remedy unit to BMC Software for $350 million. Investors
are still waiting for audited financial reports for fiscal years 2000
through 2002, and the company says it expects to restate revenue for 11
quarters downward by about a quarter billion to reflect transactions booked
as sales that should have been called loans. They are suing their former
auditor Arthur Andersen - take a number, guys - for negligence and fraud.
Apart from the fact that AA will likely be picked clean before the case gets
to trial, it will be interesting to hear the plaintiff claim to be a victim
because its auditor went along with the plaintiff's own schemes.
~terry
Wed, Oct 9, 2002 (14:33)
#90
Who Needs Moore's Law Anyway?
This just in: humans are not getting any faster, and most don't need their
PCs to do so either. With primary consumer uses like e-mail, Web surfing,
and word processing, systems beyond 2 gigahertz look to many like a 1000-
watt lightbulb; impressive but unnecessary. A recent review of households
showed the number "very likely to purchase a new PC in the next six months"
had fallen to 11%, from an average in the late nineties of around 14% and a
spike in late 1999 of 21% as people rushed to buy new systems able to handle
the year 1900 (oops). Demand has slackened despite the fact that for the
first time in eight years, most home users have machines over two years old.
Analysts suggest the industry is still in denial over the decline; as one
put it, they're "walking around like members of the cargo cult after World
War II." An indication of their attitude comes from their expressed belief
that the new drivers for new-PC demand will be games and home video editing.
Some of the downturn appears attributable to the recession, but it may also
herald a shift away from spending "techno-lust" disposable income on PCs and
toward other gizmos like cellphones, PDAs, and portable music players.
Vicarious Revenge On Spammers
When Sparklist.com, the host of Marketing Sherpa's e-mail address list
containing 10 million names, was sold to a rival, disgruntled former
employees sold the list to spammers. The resultant deluge of pornography,
make-money-fast, and organ-enlargement ads sent to their customers was
"mortifying" according a Sherpa executive. So for kicks they created
where you can subject sleazy characters
like Mr. Viagro and cartoonish nubiles to vats of boiling oil, hordes of
crazed flying monkeys, and of course an avalanche of e-mail.
We're All Bubble Boys On This Bus
In the firm belief that every burnoose-clad barbarian is cooking up pots of
anthrax and smallpox spores to lob at the civilized world, the homeland-
security folks are beefing up hospital decontamination wards. But getting
all the civilized sickos to the ward without spreading the stuff around is a
problem. Enter the living-body bag, AKA the "personal pod". These things,
for which patents are issuing, are described as a "giant Ziploc sandwich bag
with a blower and a filtered exhaust". Another version seals "with an
adhesive similar to that found on disposable diapers". I feel so much safer
now.
SIA Says Chip Sales Up
A survey by the Semiconductor Industry Association shows a 14 percent
increase in worldwide sales of chips from a year ago, primarily for use in
consumer products such as mobile phones, DVD players, and digital cameras.
It predicts sales this year should total around $143 billion.
ASAP RIP
Forbes ASAP, created in 1992 to provide coverage of the "digital economy",
is no more; it has been shut by ailing parent Forbes. It came out six times
a year, then four; now zero. A spokespern said "There is no market for a
dedicated new-economy publication." Taking a longer view was John Battelle,
former head of the company that published the now-defunct Industry Standard,
who observed "These magazines are gone until they come back, though probably
in different clothing. There will be another boom in the business cycle,
and there will be a new crop of magazines to cover it."
Follow The Money
Charles James, the DOJ antitrust chief who capitulated I mean negotiated a
settlement of the federal suit against Microsoft, is quitting for a job at
Chevron-Texaco because he says it offered him more money and a place on its
executive committee. Robert Pitofsky, former FTC head, noted that while Mr.
James verbally "was very supportive of enforcement ... he didn't bring many
cases of note at all", fewer in fact than Reagan's antitrust chief William
Baxter.
Tons O' Phone
An EPA report estimates that in three years about 65,000 tons of old cell
phones will be discarded annually. "Old" in this context meaning "replaced
by something more appealing" as in "old ex-spouse", not just say a 1970's
shoebox size cordless. Anyway, one approach is the "Take Back Your Phone"
drive to make manufacturers accept returned units and recycle them, though
simply rearranging the components for resale may not fool everybody; perhaps
they can be made into postmodern 65,000-ton sculptures that comment on our
throwaway digital lifestyle. Or perhaps not. Anyway, the makers of cell
phones don't like the idea; they prefer that "old phones be turned over to
charities or resold in less developed countries." So if a new mountain pops
up on the banks of the Limpopo or wherever it might not be a volcano, just a
pile of Nokias.
- ronks
~terry
Mon, Oct 14, 2002 (17:31)
#91
(ronks) Mon Oct 14 '02 (08:46) 34 lines
Patents And Copyrights And Trade Secrets, Oh My
As the US pursues its war on piracy of intellectual property, it's worth
noting that the biggest Jolly Roger in the 1800's was flown by a country
located between Canada and Mexico. Prior to 1891, only citizens and
residents of the US could obtain copyright protection for their works, so
that for example Dickens's "A Christmas Carol" sold for six cents here as
opposed to the equivalent of $2.50 in England. By the 1890's however it had
become apparent that Americans were producing books and other works that
needed protection abroad, only available if we reciprocated, and since then
the US has become one of the loudest voices decrying other countries doing
what we did. The Trips ("Trade related aspects of intellectual property
rights", sounds better than Traoipr I guess) agreement being pushed on
members of the WTO would require nations to enforce a standard and a strong
set of IP rules worldwide. The World Bank just did a study of who wins and
who loses from Trips: it concluded the US would gain about $19 billion a
year in additional royalties, Germany about $7 B, Japan $6 B, and France
around $3 B. China would lose $5 B, Mexico $3 B, India $1 B, and Brazil
about $0.5 billion. While Trips has been on a roll among WTO signatories,
the World Bank study reinforces a feeling born of the AIDS epidemic and the
high cost of patented drugs leading third world countries to rethink its
virtues. Of course once they too become rich and famous, they may see
things differently, just as we did..
In other news, the feeling among the plaintiffs seeking in the Supreme Court
to overturn the recent extension of US copyright terms is not optimistic.
At a meeting after oral arguments the general perception was that while the
Supremes felt "disdain" for the law, they were reluctant to declare it
unconstitutional. Still the plaintiffs felt they had lit a fire that might
in time ignite public opinion and persuade legislators to see both sides of
the issue rather than just Disney's. As one attorney put it, "A lot of us
feel this is like the environmental movement before 'Silent Spring'".
~terry
Tue, Oct 15, 2002 (12:38)
#92
(ronks) Tue Oct 15 '02 (09:32) 15 lines
Return Of The Mainframe
Well, not exactly. But ancient computer maker Unisys, who has also branched
out into the more up-to-date services biz, reported quarterly earnings of
$59 million, up from $21 M last year even though revenue was off about 4%.
Play With Your Phone
In what is either a visionary breakthrough or one of the silliest uses of
new technology, Intel is expected to announce a new generation of flash
memory and stacked processor chips based on the ARM design that will
"give cell phone users the ability to execute such performance-intensive
applications as MPEG4 video, speech and handwriting recognition, and Java".
~terry
Fri, Oct 25, 2002 (08:22)
#93
ronks:
Return Of The Mainframe
Well, not exactly. But ancient computer maker Unisys, who has also branched
out into the more up-to-date services biz, reported quarterly earnings of
$59 million, up from $21 M last year even though revenue was off about 4%.
Play With Your Phone
In what is either a visionary breakthrough or one of the silliest uses of
new technology, Intel is expected to announce a new generation of flash
memory and stacked processor chips based on the ARM design that will
"give cell phone users the ability to execute such performance-intensive
applications as MPEG4 video, speech and handwriting recognition, and Java".
Funky Pundits
A conference of high-tech boosters called Agenda, held in Scottsdale this
year, was a gloomy departure from the usual optimistic mood of prior years.
The major debate seemed to be over whether the industry had simply "matured"
into a slower-growing phase that would last indefinitely, or whether the
slump was temporary (maybe long-term but still finite) due to overbuilding
and overinvestment in fiber optic pipes, chip fab plants, and other capacity
that led companies to take on long-term debt just as demand plummeted.
Voodoo Econometrics
An article in the paper today (not meant to be taken seriously, I hope)
tracks the correlation between the stock market and the reoccurrence of
World Series between California teams. In 1974, 1988, and this year,
(regular 14-year intervals, hmm) the rivalry is between a team from the
north of the state and one from the LA area. A year after the first one,
the Dow was up 26%; a year after the second, it was up 23%. Then there was
1989, when there was a recession, a threat of war in the Mideast, and the
Dow went up only 2%, not to mention the earthquake; but that was between two
Bay Area teams so any resemblance to this year is of course purely
coincidental..
Flat Apple
Not a new monitor, but the company's quarterly financial results. Gross
sales were essentially the same as a year ago, though the number of units
shipped was down 14 percent to 734,000. The $66 million profit of the
quarter a year ago turned into a $45 M loss, mostly due to one-time charges
like a decline in its Earthlink investment; without those, Apple made $7 M.
CFO Fred Anderson was not hopeful for the future: "There's uncertainty in
the economy and the PC industry and the possibility of war. I don't see any
point in being optimistic at the moment." Don't invite him to your next
party.
How To Drive Customers Away
Microsoft's new corporate pricing plan, which basically converts software
license to a rental mode, is producing some short term gains as clients
signed up to beat a July 31 rate increase, but a lot of grumbling and some
defections. Overall, most companies will probably pay about the same, some
a little less, and some will have to pay more; but the losers are the ones
whose budgets were tightest in the first place and are the most sensitive to
price gouging by a monopoly. The city of Nanaimo in British Columbia has
responded by moving to convert its 350 desktop units to Sun StarOffice,
estimated to cost about 15% of MS Office.
Sun Down
Sun may be the gainer from the MS plans in Nanaimo, but its reported to be
losing the OS wars to Microsoft and Linux. As a result its prices reflect
lower profit margins, and as a result of that, its credit rating was just
lowered by S&P (to BBB from BBB+, still investment grade but nearer junk).
More Layoffs At Adobe
The graphics software maker is expected to let go about another 250 staff in
the fourth quarter; it dropped 247 a year ago, out of about 3500 on its
payroll.
Talk Faster
Lucent reports chip prototypes for cell phones that can send and receive at
eight times the speed of today's units; it is expected to be used for
wireless data as well as high-speed babbling. They use inverse multiplexing
(which I haven't heard much of recently), merging signals from several
antennas into a single stream.
Sun Squeezed
As one analyst put it, "They're a big company, they're not going away", but
the challenge "would be to remain relevant to its customers". Facing a 4%
quarterly decline in sales from a year ago and a $111 million net loss
(though better than the $180 M loss this time last year), Sun has to deal
with challenges to its proprietary software from Microsoft and open-source
Linux as well as a decline in clients' capital spending on technology.
Plainly losing less on lower revenue comes from cost-cutting, which Sun
intends to continue with a planned layoff of about 4,400 employees or 11%
worldwide. Longer term it remains to be seen if the company can be
profitable as the Unix market shifts; Sun's one reported victory in the
story was over H-P's own proprietary OS. Another bright spot, if a small
one, was $6 million in sales of its Star Office suite.
Quote Of The Day
S&P energy analyst Craig Shere, on UBS's purchase of Enron's trading unit:
"They bought intellectual capital, and if your intellectual capital
winds up behind bars that's not going to help them."
Billy Bass, Pirate
Senator Ernest ("Fritz") Hollings of South Carolina has introduced the
Consumer Broadband And Digital Television Promotion Act. This long-stemmed
bill would require makers of "digital media devices" to incorporate copy
prevention systems to ensure they do not unlawfully utilize copyrighted
material. Unfortunately the act's definition of a digital media device is
somewhat broad: according to Princeton professor Edward Felten's Web site
, copy
protection would have to be incorporated in digital hearing aids, baby
monitors, Shop With Me Barbie toy cash registers, and Big Mouth Billy Bass.
One imagines the FBI taking a break from dealing with people who shoot back
to employ the majesty of US law enforcement in busting basster.com, a cartel
devoted to downloading century-old (but still copyrighted) songs to a wall-
mounted fish. Or hearing aids blasting rap songs into the ears of oldsters
break-dancing on the floor of the rest home. An aide to the senator says
"details of the legislation remain to be worked out".
No Curb Cuts in HTML
Federal judge rules that the ADA doesn't apply in Cyberspace, dismissing
suit against Southwest Airlines:
Loss At CA
Embattled software giant Computer Associates reported a quarterly net loss
of $52 million. This was down from its $291 M loss in the quarter a year
ago, but the story does not say if the figures are GAAP or CA's own made-up
"pro forma" figures.
Games Lose Appeal
Video-game makers Eidos and THQ are delaying new releases and reporting
gloomy financials as analysts speculate on slow holiday sales. Eidos PLC
was off 15 pence (how British) after announcing the delay of its next Tomb
Raider game, and sales of both Nintendos and Microsoft Xboxen are lower than
expected. Could it people are growing tired of this sort of thing?
~terry
Sun, Oct 27, 2002 (16:10)
#94
ronks
Return Of The Mainframe
Well, not exactly. But ancient computer maker Unisys, who has also branched
out into the more up-to-date services biz, reported quarterly earnings of
$59 million, up from $21 M last year even though revenue was off about 4%.
Play With Your Phone
In what is either a visionary breakthrough or one of the silliest uses of
new technology, Intel is expected to announce a new generation of flash
memory and stacked processor chips based on the ARM design that will
"give cell phone users the ability to execute such performance-intensive
applications as MPEG4 video, speech and handwriting recognition, and Java".
Funky Pundits
A conference of high-tech boosters called Agenda, held in Scottsdale this
year, was a gloomy departure from the usual optimistic mood of prior years.
The major debate seemed to be over whether the industry had simply "matured"
into a slower-growing phase that would last indefinitely, or whether the
slump was temporary (maybe long-term but still finite) due to overbuilding
and overinvestment in fiber optic pipes, chip fab plants, and other capacity
that led companies to take on long-term debt just as demand plummeted.
Voodoo Econometrics
An article in the paper today (not meant to be taken seriously, I hope)
tracks the correlation between the stock market and the reoccurrence of
World Series between California teams. In 1974, 1988, and this year,
(regular 14-year intervals, hmm) the rivalry is between a team from the
north of the state and one from the LA area. A year after the first one,
the Dow was up 26%; a year after the second, it was up 23%. Then there was
1989, when there was a recession, a threat of war in the Mideast, and the
Dow went up only 2%, not to mention the earthquake; but that was between two
Bay Area teams so any resemblance to this year is of course purely
coincidental..
Flat Apple
Not a new monitor, but the company's quarterly financial results. Gross
sales were essentially the same as a year ago, though the number of units
shipped was down 14 percent to 734,000. The $66 million profit of the
quarter a year ago turned into a $45 M loss, mostly due to one-time charges
like a decline in its Earthlink investment; without those, Apple made $7 M.
CFO Fred Anderson was not hopeful for the future: "There's uncertainty in
the economy and the PC industry and the possibility of war. I don't see any
point in being optimistic at the moment." Don't invite him to your next
party.
How To Drive Customers Away
Microsoft's new corporate pricing plan, which basically converts software
license to a rental mode, is producing some short term gains as clients
signed up to beat a July 31 rate increase, but a lot of grumbling and some
defections. Overall, most companies will probably pay about the same, some
a little less, and some will have to pay more; but the losers are the ones
whose budgets were tightest in the first place and are the most sensitive to
price gouging by a monopoly. The city of Nanaimo in British Columbia has
responded by moving to convert its 350 desktop units to Sun StarOffice,
estimated to cost about 15% of MS Office.
Sun Down
Sun may be the gainer from the MS plans in Nanaimo, but its reported to be
losing the OS wars to Microsoft and Linux. As a result its prices reflect
lower profit margins, and as a result of that, its credit rating was just
lowered by S&P (to BBB from BBB+, still investment grade but nearer junk).
More Layoffs At Adobe
The graphics software maker is expected to let go about another 250 staff in
the fourth quarter; it dropped 247 a year ago, out of about 3500 on its
payroll.
Talk Faster
Lucent reports chip prototypes for cell phones that can send and receive at
eight times the speed of today's units; it is expected to be used for
wireless data as well as high-speed babbling. They use inverse multiplexing
(which I haven't heard much of recently), merging signals from several
antennas into a single stream.
Sun Squeezed
As one analyst put it, "They're a big company, they're not going away", but
the challenge "would be to remain relevant to its customers". Facing a 4%
quarterly decline in sales from a year ago and a $111 million net loss
(though better than the $180 M loss this time last year), Sun has to deal
with challenges to its proprietary software from Microsoft and open-source
Linux as well as a decline in clients' capital spending on technology.
Plainly losing less on lower revenue comes from cost-cutting, which Sun
intends to continue with a planned layoff of about 4,400 employees or 11%
worldwide. Longer term it remains to be seen if the company can be
profitable as the Unix market shifts; Sun's one reported victory in the
story was over H-P's own proprietary OS. Another bright spot, if a small
one, was $6 million in sales of its Star Office suite.
Quote Of The Day
S&P energy analyst Craig Shere, on UBS's purchase of Enron's trading unit:
"They bought intellectual capital, and if your intellectual capital
winds up behind bars that's not going to help them."
Billy Bass, Pirate
Senator Ernest ("Fritz") Hollings of South Carolina has introduced the
Consumer Broadband And Digital Television Promotion Act. This long-stemmed
bill would require makers of "digital media devices" to incorporate copy
prevention systems to ensure they do not unlawfully utilize copyrighted
material. Unfortunately the act's definition of a digital media device is
somewhat broad: according to Princeton professor Edward Felten's Web site
, copy
protection would have to be incorporated in digital hearing aids, baby
monitors, Shop With Me Barbie toy cash registers, and Big Mouth Billy Bass.
One imagines the FBI taking a break from dealing with people who shoot back
to employ the majesty of US law enforcement in busting basster.com, a cartel
devoted to downloading century-old (but still copyrighted) songs to a wall-
mounted fish. Or hearing aids blasting rap songs into the ears of oldsters
break-dancing on the floor of the rest home. An aide to the senator says
"details of the legislation remain to be worked out".
No Curb Cuts in HTML
Federal judge rules that the ADA doesn't apply in Cyberspace, dismissing
suit against Southwest Airlines:
Loss At CA
Embattled software giant Computer Associates reported a quarterly net loss
of $52 million. This was down from its $291 M loss in the quarter a year
ago, but the story does not say if the figures are GAAP or CA's own made-up
"pro forma" figures.
Games Lose Appeal
Video-game makers Eidos and THQ are delaying new releases and reporting
gloomy financials as analysts speculate on slow holiday sales. Eidos PLC
was off 15 pence (how British) after announcing the delay of its next Tomb
Raider game, and sales of both Nintendos and Microsoft Xboxen are lower than
expected. Could it people are growing tired of this sort of thing?
~terry
Tue, Oct 29, 2002 (12:43)
#95
ronks rages on.
IBM As Water Company
CEO Sam Palmisano is expected to unveil tomorrow his view of the future of
corporate computing, as a utility service in which customers buy just what
they need from bulk suppliers like IBM as they now purchase electricity or
other commodities. Called "computing on demand", it is based on the ability
of processors across a network to share tasks, like SETI@Home but more in
real time. This "grid computing" is said to be one of the features that
differentiate the concept from the failed 1960's model of computer time-
sharing. Whether there is sufficient difference to make it a success
remains to be seen, but it is an ambitious strategy that would require a
major change in the mind-set of clients. It also sounds very like an
attempt to resurrect Big Blue's old strategy (back in those halcyon days
when the mainframe was king and IBM monopolized the mainframe business) of
"account control". Proponents dismiss the gloomy time-sharing analogy with
the observation that the Internet was also conceived in the 1960's, but only
recently enabled by the evolution of hardware, software, and fat pipes. In
any case, IBM is not alone in its effort to become the PG&E of computing:
HP, Microsoft, Sun, and Accenture (who shed the Arthur Andersen name just in
time) are trying to move in the same direction. I would guess that
Microsoft's .Net architecture is a major part of MS's plan. Personally, as
a matter of corporate sociology, I've seen real eagerness on the part of MIS
execs to replace PCs with servers under their control and "thin clients",
formerly known as 3270's, on the desktops; but I wonder very much if those
same execs who want that control will be eager to cede it to old monopolist
IBM or new monopolist MS, or anybody else for that matter. The would-be
utilities will have to target a layer of management above them to succeed.
Shazam! It's Beethoven
Or possibly someone younger. A London startup named Shazam Entertainment
offers a novel dial-up service: you call their number and point your cell
phone (with a text display) at a music source. According to the article,
their service analyzes the sound, scans its database of 1.6 million songs in
less than a second, sends a text message naming the tune and the artist, and
charges you 75 cents (or 50 pence in English). Users can later log into
www.shazam.com for a history of their calls and links to merchants who sell
recordings. The service was created by graduates of UC Berkeley and
Stanford, but the founders have no plans to introduce it in the US because
of Americans' "resistance to using their cellphones for anything but
talking".
Waywayback Machine Debuts
A full-page ad on the back page of today's NY Times business section seems
to have fallen through a wormhole from either the last or the next April
Fool's Day. A company calling itself "Bagotronics.com" is advertising a
time machine, for business travelers only who want to reverse bad strategies
or perhaps sell their stock in Enron and MarchFirst.com when it was worth
something. The "Business Time Machine", based on the latest (possibly even
the future) "quark-gluon plasma chip technology" is pictured on the ad.
Looking like an escapee from a 1930's sci-fi movie, the BTM is built on a
sort of Chippendale, or perhaps Louis Quattorze, walnut base with brass
handles. In front are two switches, knobs, and red lights; one each for the
future and the past perhaps. The top is a sort of bell jar within which are
set an alarm clock and a kind of Slinky in a cage, plus a couple of
solenoids and what looks like a medicine bottle. The latter is probably
where they store the Kool-Aid on which the process depends. Details alleged
to be available at . Oh, and because the BTM is
for businesspersons only, the ad states that the user will not be encumbered
with hoi polloi like "travelers to Gettysburg" and "stage enthusiasts
returning to Shakespeare's England"; still, you could probably pick up a
First Folio of "Hamlet" there for cheap and resell it on EBay...
~terry
Fri, Nov 22, 2002 (09:09)
#96
ronks:
Here They Come
According to a survey by Circle 1 Network and SpectraCom reported in the
latest PC Magazine, last year forty percent of children aged 4 through 18
had a "wireless device". (It's true this could strictly speaking include a
teddy bear, but I think they mean a wireless device as we know it.) One-
third have a cell phone, a fifty percent jump from the previous year, and
the top item on their wish lists is a laptop computer.
Smaller Blackberry
Not the device (or the fruit); the company, actually Research In Motion Ltd,
will lay off about 10% of its staff to "tighten operational efficiencies".
New Blueprint
In other wireless news, Microsoft and Samsung will offer a set of design
specs to "allow any electronics manufacturer to produce a relatively
inexpensive version of a hand-held Pocket PC". The move is seen not so much
as a desire by MS to increase competition as a move to squelch Palm's new
$99 unit.
Mr. Gates Goes To Delhi
On a goodwill visit, with a large wallet. Besides contributions from his
charitable foundation conveniently announced this week, his company will
pump $400 million into the country to "increase computer literacy" and
expand access to technology. And perhaps to blunt India's support of Linux.
Short Term Storage
Do not use this for file archives; a new type of DVD has been created by a
New York company called Flexplay. Within eight hours after the sealed
package is opened, a special dye layer oxidizes on contact with air and
renders the disk unreadable. The dye can be formulated to let the DVD live
for up to 60 hours, and the disk becomes unusable within a year whether
opened or not. Copies are being given out free to fans of a group called
Nappy Roots as a marketing experiment, evidently to test whether they are
stupid enough to buy music disks that self-destruct. Perhaps you might pay
for them with checks written in ink that becomes invisible in 30 minutes,
but I suppose the vendors would consider that unfair. The article says the
disk technology was originally designed for the distribution of software.
Yes, it really says that. Can you imagine waiting an hour to talk with tech
support who tells you to reinstall the app from the disk, unless of course
you opened the package more than eight hours ago? Oy.
Yet Another Accounting Firm In Trouble
It might be simpler just to list the ones that aren't, but where's the
Schadenfreude in that? Anyway, the SEC has reinstated charges against Ernst
& Young that they violated auditor independence rules by partnering with
PeopleSoft to jointly develop and market a software product at the same time
as they were policing the software company's books, a conflict of interest.
And why did the charges have to be reinstated? Because the first time around
so many SEC commissioners had their own conflicts of interest that only one
person was able to vote on whether to pursue the case. I believe that
decision was unanimous..
Those Who Can, Do; Those Who Can't, ...
Online credit card company NextCard was once a high-flying startup, but too
many clients treated it like a VC firm or a free lunch. Failure of its
customers to pay led regulators to seize its banking operations in February
and cut off its card operations in July; the company was running on a
"service contract" with the FDIC which expired at the end of last month.
Yesterday it filed for bankruptcy, owing the FDIC up to $400 million and
under SEC investigation. The interesting part is that it filed under
Chapter 11 with a plan to reorganize "as a consultant to other financial
services firms". Like Typhoid Mary could go into restaurant-hygiene
consulting..
Optical Router At Heart of New Campus Network
It had to happen. The slowest component of the network planned for UC San
Diego is not the connections but the computers. The campus-wide system
(called an "optiputer") is to be linked with optical fibers and a light-
signal router from Texas-based Chiaro Networks. It will essentially
constitute a grid supercomputer whose 500 Intel processors run the Linux
operating system.
Object-Oriented With Real Objects
Bill Gates' keynote address to Comdex was expected to announce Microsoft's
support for "smart personal objects" like Dick Tracy wristwatches that
display weather, sports scores, news, and text messages. And probably spam,
though he may not mention that. Microsoft is said to be working with
National Semiconductor and appliance makers to develop gizmos of all sorts,
available in about a year, that demonstrate his claim that "the industry"
(there's only one?) is moving from personal computers, those boring old
boxes with low profit margins even for a monopolist, to personal computing.
O brave new world, where we have to buy an annual license to use our own
watches... BTW, the promoter of Comdex is poised to declare bankruptcy
after attendance dropped from 200,000 in 1999 to 125,000 last year with no
signs of an upturn. If this continues, Las Vegas will have to return to its
core values like gambling and prostitution. Which leads to:
S&M Web Sites Tied Up In Red Tape
Purveyors of Internet bondage sites are howling with pain as they feel the
lash of increased credit-card payment restrictions. My, this is metaphor
city. Anyway, the payment process works like this: subscribers and one-time
visitors pay for whatever services and views they seek by credit card, with
is often laundered through an "Internet service payment provider" who helps
to mask the identity of the site on financial records. The customer pays
his credit card service, the service pays the ISPP, who pays the smuttist.
However, the system is breaking down at both ends. The johns have a high
rate of repudiation of the charges, perhaps upon discovery by their wives,
at which point they claim some bad kinky person stole their CC number (and
dialed from their phone number too in many cases). Rather than fight and
lose a customer, the bank reverses the charge and debits the leathery
"merchant". But not all repudiations are false: there is some evidence
these sites often fail to honor requests to cancel, and charge for lapsed
subscriptions. Consequently, Visa and MasterCard are charging such
merchants $500 signup fees and $250 annual renewals as "high risk"
operations. This is no problem for large companies: Gerald van der Leun,
recently retired VP of Internet activities at Penthouse, says many of his
competitors have "a fast and loose relation with their customers' credit
cards". But many smaller ones - mom and pop bondage sites, as it were - say
they are being unfairly singled out for punishment (oops, another metaphor)
as part of a campaign by the plastic companies to clean up their image after
denying their facilities to gambling sites. The card companies say no,
Internet gambling is simply illegal in many jurisdictions and they can't
afford to sort it all out, and smut sites are just a bad business risk.
~terry
Fri, Nov 22, 2002 (09:09)
#97
More ronks.
Computer Associates' Wang Is Out
Chairman Charles Wang, who founded CA in 1976 as an aggressive buyer of
mainframe utility software companies whose products he then cut technical
support for while he raised prices, has resigned his post effective
immediately. He will retain the "honorary and unpaid title of chairman
emeritus" and receive no pension. Don't worry about him going hungry,
however; he made $670 million in pay alone in 1998, he owns the New York
Islanders hockey team, and he has been ranked one of the highest-paid
executives in the world. Although he built CA into the 5th-largest software
firm globally with $3 billion annual sales (perhaps; see below) and 16,000
employees, he is leaving a troubled legacy. Besides practicing extortion on
customers, the company's manipulation of accounting figures is under
investigation. In one case Mr. Wang stood to receive over 12 million shares
of CA stock if he could get the price up to a certain amount; during that
time profits may have been artificially inflated. In another, CA adopted an
accounting rule that allowed it report the same sales and profits two times.
One analyst summed up his legacy as "They didn't have a pretense of saving
the world through better technology - it was, we are sort of out to
consolidate the industry and gather economic value in the process."
Extremely Big Blue
IBM has received a $290 million contract to build two supercomputers for the
Lawrence Radiation Laboratory in Livermore that together will exceed the
computing power of the next five hundred fastest machines in the world.
Leading the duo is Blue Gene/L, made of 130,000 specialized processors; it
is expected to perform 360 trillion math operations a second, ten times that
of NEC's next-place Earth Simulator. Its little brother, ASCI Purple, will
consist of a mere 12,000 Power 5 processors. An IBM executive says that
with these machines "we have the ability to help people solve some of the
demanding problems of everyday life in the world we live in", perhaps
forgetting that LRL is a nuclear-weapons development facility.
CA Investigation Intensifies
The Brooklyn prosecutor looking into Federal criminal charges against
Computer Associates (the CA DA, as it were) has brought a grand jury into
the case and is sending out subpoenas. At issue appear to be two actions.
In May of 1998, the three top executives of the company received a total of
over 20 million shares free, a grant that had been conditioned on the price
of the stock remaining above $53.33 for 12 months. The value of that
windfall, based on the price of the shares, was around $1.1 billion. In July
the company announced sales and profits would fall, and the stock dropped
below the $53.33 level, but only after the grant of shares was completed.
The Feds are exploring whether (1) the execs manipulated figures up to 1998,
such as by booking all expected revenue from long-term contracts as of the
date of sale, to pump up the share price and fulfil the grant conditions and
(2) continued to falsify the numbers afterwards to hide the previous shell
game. The second count involves the company's accounting rule changes that
allowed it to double-count sales and profits from transactions. A attorney
described the status of the investigation as "When you really want to start
compelling the production of documents and taking testimony, you do it by a
grand jury subpoena. Otherwise it's just a request."
./
~terry
Sun, Dec 1, 2002 (16:12)
#98
Busy Techie (ronks) Fri Nov 22 '02 (08:57) 46 lines
Me And My Shadow
A story in the paper today says the US Defense Advanced Research Projects
Agency or DARPA has been exploring the possibility of preventing Internet
anonymity by requiring a digital signature for Net use which would tag every
packet a user sends. Called eDNA, the idea was to first extend it to
government sites, then financial institutions, and "after that [to have]
been broadened even further". A summary of the plan sent to participants at
a workshop on the proposal said "We envision that all network and client
resources will maintain traces of user eDNA so that the user can be uniquely
identified as having visited a Web site, having started a process, or having
sent a packet." DARPA funded SRI to hold the workshop last August; it was
chaired by Matt Blaze of AT&T and Victoria Stavridou of SRI, and included
Whitfield Diffie and Marc Rotenberg. The workshop attendees reportedly
criticized the proposal as both poor technology and poor policy; Mr. Blaze
later said he had been fired by Ms. Stavridou who wanted to "hijack" the
proceedings and give DARPA a more positive reply. After a planned
teleconference with all participants was canceled, Ms. Stavridou privately
briefed DARPA on the/her conclusions of the workshop. DARPA has also been
in the news recently for hiring convicted but pardoned Iran-Contra felon
John Poindexter to head the agency's Information Awareness Office to "mount
a vast dragnet through electronic transaction data ranging from credit card
information to veterinary records." DARPA says it has no plans to pursue
the eDNA project further, but of course they would say that anyway...
The Qubit Engineers
An article in the November Scientific American suggests the possibility of
practical quantum computing may be at least visible on the horizon. I won't
try to do more than summarize the argument (trying to go too deep into this
gives me a brain cramp), but the author, physics professor Michael Nielsen,
suggests that we are moving from knowing the basic rules of quantum
mechanics to understanding the "emergent properties" of the subject.
Analogies in two areas seem to sum up his thesis. Perfectly understanding
the rules of chess for example is of little practical use in winning if you
don't realize it's foolish to sacrifice a queen for a pawn, or the use of
positioning forces; those strategic issues emerge from the formal rules and
are critical to success. Similarly, the science of thermodynamics consists
of equations relating energy, heat, temperature and other variables which
may imply that a steam or internal-combustion engine is possible but aren't
sufficient by themselves to build a useful one. Nearly practical projects
to use quantum computers for tasks like data compression or error correction
of transmitted data hint the subject may be poised to move out of the lab.
Verity Buys a Search Engine
Verity, a brand leader in the enterprise knowledge management market,
apparently discovered that companies wanted search to go with whatever
it is that they get when they invest in KM and "social networking
software". Having not changed the Verity core search engine
significantly since 1997, they bought the Inktomi enterprise search
engine for $25 million cash. Verity officials indicated that they are
considering returning to the name �Ultraseek.� Ultraseek was originally
developed by Infoseek Corp. in the 1990s. It was included in Go
Disney�s acquisition of Infoseek in July 1999 and subsequently sold to
Inktomi in June 2000 for more than $300 million in cash and stock.
Verity has offered positions to 40 of the 100 Inktomi staff on the
project, including all the programmers. Inktomi customers are
uniformly unhappy about the change, with many of them pointing out that
they left Verity for good reasons.
Whither H-P?
An article in today's paper says all but one of Dell's competitors have
dropped out of the effort to contest it for overall supremacy in PC sales,
opting instead for niche business segments. The exception is H-P, whose
merger with Compaq in May briefly put it ahead of Dell; but they quickly
lost the #1 slot when Dell's sales rose 21% in the next quarter and H-P's
fell 3%. As one analyst observed, "H-P was the market share leader for
about three minutes". Still, H-P has not given up; it has cut costs,
reducing its PC sales losses in the last quarter to $87 million on $5
billion volume. And it is pushing its R&D people for innovative products as
an edge. A sort of concept computer based on H-P's "Agora" project is being
demo'ed at Comdex; it features enhanced videoconferencing, instant
messaging, data sharing and collaboration components for the corporate
market, and is planned for rollout in about a year and a half. The problem
with that, critics note, is that the benefit from unpatented innovations
lasts only till they are cloned by cheap rivals who didn't spend money on
the R&D effort; or as another analyst commented, "In the PC business,
innovation does not mean you can charge a lot more money for it."
Will Streamline Tax Laws For Food
Or ultimately for money: $10 billion in state sales taxes that goes
uncollected from online interstate purchases, expected to grow to $25B by
2007. As customers of Lands End and Amazon know, out-of-state mail order
sales do not include sales tax if the merchant does not have a "presence" in
the buyer's state. The tax is legally owed, but Federal courts have
repeatedly held that the merchant can't be required to collect it. Congress
has the power to change the law, and retailers with stores in many states
like Wal-Mart and JC Penney are constantly whining about the unfairness of
the present rules, but one major obstacle has been the enormous complexity
it would impose on the sellers. There are over 7,600 different tax districts
in the country; besides the states, there are counties, cities, and agencies
like BART and hospital and mosquito-abatement agencies. And many of them
have conflicting rules: some tax food, some don't, some tax it at a lower
rate, some consider candy a food, some don't; some tax clothing, some don't,
some consider a hanky clothing, some don't, and so on. About three dozen
states are trying to unify their tax rules and rates in hopes of persuading
Congress to let them at that $10-25 billion revenue pie. But the lack of
some unifying efforts is pointed out by potential losers like Amazon: for
example, the proposed rules don't say if downloaded music or other content
is a good or a (non-taxable) service, or if shipping & handling are taxable.
The battle is likely to simmer for some time unresolved.
This Year, Give The Gift Of DWDM
Cisco Systems may have got into the spiked eggnog a bit early. A recent
press release suggests "the gift of learning" with stocking-stuffers like
_Digital Wave Division Multiplexing Network Designs and Engineering
Solutions_, _Web Security Field Guide_, and _Voice-Enabling The Data
Networks_. Perhaps tied up with colorful ribbon cable it would certainly be
a surprise, and certainly more modern than a lump of coal .
Bearded Hens, Come Not Near
Kevin Ploetz hunts turkeys in upstate New York; although he has evidently
shot so many that his wife complained the house was filling up with their
stuffed and mounted carcasses, he says he finds the pursuit challenging.
Or in his own words, "It's frustrating that a bird with a brain the size of
a quarter can outsmart me." Right, Kevin. Anyway, it turns out that just
like Indians collected scalps because it was inconvenient to attach the
corpses of all your victims to your belt, turkeys have a symbolic token
called a "beard", a clump of hairlike mutated feathers at the chest below
that red rubbery thing. Like elk antlers, the size of the beard is
considered a mark of the creature's (obviously former) virility, ranging
from 3 inches for a young bird to 18 in prize specimens. Some hen turkeys
have a beard, but hunters regard catching a bearded female bad luck. Well
anyway to relate this back to biztech, Mr. Ploetz - you remember him,
outsmarted by a coin-sized brain, has a house full of dead stuffed birds -
has invented a convenient means of preserving the turkey beard by cramming
it into the remains of the souvenir fatal shotgun shell. Apparently the
beard feathers tend to fall apart easily, and some unscrupulous hunters have
even been caught parading turkey beard toupees for lack of a presentable
genuine. I mean is this weird or what? So Patent Number 6,451,393 has been
issued to Mr. Coinbrain for his "turkey beard display device".
K 2 H P
Hewlett Packard has hired computer-design legend Alan Kay as a senior
researcher. While he declined to say the direction his work there would
take, most recently he has worked on using computers in children's education
to help them understand "complex systems like software". Around 1968, when
computers ranged in size from a refrigerator to a string of freight cars,
Mr. Kay proposed the Dynabook concept: a portable computer with wireless
communications that weighed about as much as a book, could be held on the
lap, and included a flat screen and a keyboard, and could recognize
handwriting done with a stylus on the screen. Later at the Xerox PARC labs
he was in the lead of teams that created the mouse, the GUI, and windows for
a system called the Alto. Later he and others developed one of the first
object-oriented languages, called Smalltalk. He did say of his planned
work at H-P, "The goal is to show what the next big relationship between
people and computing is likely to be. ... I don't think the real computing
revolution has happened yet." Which suggests work along the lines of David
Gelernter to remove the hardware as a definer of categories.
Supreme Court Shakes Booty
This is not strictly speaking a business & technology matter, and I hope the
hosts here don't find out about the irrelevancy, but a really funny "Summary
Notice of Class Action and Hearing on Proposed Settlement" is so rare it's
worth mentioning. Besides, the venture capitalists and Chief Technology
Officers and Head Software Evangelists are probably all tucked away dreaming
of sugarplums, or is that another holiday? Anyway, the Supreme Court of The
State of New York has a message for all purchasers of Fruity Booty(tm); also
buyers of Veggie Booty and Pirate's Booty. If you contact them - not the
judges themselves of course, some lackey of theirs who handles such trivia -
they may have a prize for you in connection with the matter of Victor Klein
And All Others Similarly Situated vs. Robert's Gourmet Food. Apparently Mr.
Klein either overpaid for his booty or choked on a toy whistle or something,
so his law firm has sued Poor Robert and called it a class action. Chances
are the "all others similarly situated" will end up with an edible whistle
or the like while the lawyers get several zillion bucks, but surely that is
a small price to pay for such an entertaining Summary Notice.
Happy Thanksgiving, everyone!
~terry
Mon, Dec 2, 2002 (22:24)
#99
ronks
A New Front In The Software Piracy War
The Well's reports in today's paper that expensive engineering
programs with military applications are increasingly popular in the black
market, and little effort is being made to fight the trend. A New Jersey
software maker called Intelligent Light says its $12,000 package is
available from "Chinese entrepreneurs" for $200 complete with a "step-by-
step install guide and crack file". Several factors seem to hinder the
effort to prosecute violations. First, the public still pretty much sees it
as ensuring "that Bill Gates and Britney Spears get every penny" at the
expense of students and the less well-off generally. Second, offshore
prosecutions are not in the toolkit of most DA's: as one US Attorney puts
it, "it's an issue of sovereignty and diplomacy, which is sort of outside my
realm." Publishers suspect the federal government is afraid to annoy Red
China during the current charm offensive, even though the Business Software
alliance claims 92% of commercial software there is pirated. And finally
there is the sense among some government agencies and prosecutors that the
publishers are unwilling victims on a very selective basis. They recall
that when they tried to enforce laws against exporting strong crypto,
software makers were in the opposition, and they wonder if the present
change of heart is real. That probably translates to a lack of enthusiasm in
taking cases now, though of course none will actually say so.
November E-Sales Up
The numbers for the first three weeks of last month suggest a boom in online
merchandising: $4.5 billion in non-travel goods, up 29% from the same period
last year. Looks like a green Christmas at Amazon. Still, the figures may
be a bit misleading. Thanksgiving came later this year than last, meaning a
shortened post-turkeyday season; many merchants began promotions like free
shipping earlier this year, perhaps for that reason; Hanukkah began last
Friday, earlier than 2001; and outside of favored climes like California,
the November weather turned cold and kept people inside at their computers.
New Patents
For the recipient who has everything, reversible shoes. You don't actually
turn them inside out, you disassemble them first into a removable sole, side
panel, and heel panel; South Carolina inventor Leslie Hunter notes they
store flat that way and take up less closet space. Ehsan Alipour offers an
iron that won't burn: if you leave it with the plate down, little legs pop
out and lift it up out of harm's way. While making charitable contributions
in someone else's name as a gift is not new, placing a bet for them on an
online gambling server may be, according to inventor Adam Kidron of New
Jersey. They get the winnings (if any) and you get the undying gratitude.
James Logan offers the dubious value of a watch that races ahead several
minutes at unpredictable times (so to speak) "to encourage punctuality".
But my favorite is what might be called the "Sonny Bono Memorial Ski Parka";
not in fact named after the late Congressman-singer who skied into a tree
and came off the worse for it, the garment includes an approaching-object
sensor with an alarm, a microprocessor that detects if the wearer is too
fast or too dumb to avoid the encounter, and an air bag in front that
automatically inflates. I suppose calling something the Sonny Bono Air Bag
would be redundant, though.
~terry
Wed, Dec 4, 2002 (10:15)
#100
ronks rides again. Ron Sipherd. ronks@well.com. Thank you.
The AOL Of The Future
With ad revenues down, subscriber growth slowing now that every man, woman,
and child on the planet has over a dozen free-offer CDs, rising costs and
more competitors for high-speed access, AOL is reported about to reinvent
itself; sort of. According to the story, its game plan emphasizes selling
content to subscribers who get broadband Internet access from other ISPs.
AOL presently has such an offering, but promotes it so feebly that half its
subscribers who have broadband connections still pay AOL for dial-up access
anyway. Besides offering productions from siblings like Warner Brothers and
Turner, AOL will push online versions of Time Inc. magazines such as a
children's version of Sports Illustrated, Time4Kids, People, Teen People,
and Little People for pre-teens (just kidding). Upcoming AOL 9.0 will offer
features like the ability to chat while watching the same movie online, thus
recreating a typical if annoying quality of real theaters. They will also
tailor their promotions and expenses more carefully, pushing more crud on
the gullible (er, "sending more offers to customers who like them") and - I
am not making this up - "providing less-attentive customer service to less-
profitable users".
And Then There Were Two
West Virginia says it will join Massachusetts in appealing the trial judge's
decision in the Microsoft antitrust case. BTW, still pending are "dozens of
class-action lawsuits" as well as non-governmental antitrust cases filed by
Sun and by Netscape's owner AOL.
One Word
Plastics. A Xerox researcher described as "Beng Ong of Mississauga" says
his company is developing plastic transistor circuits that can be laid down
with ink-jets in place of the current photo-lithography. These chips would
be flexible, much cheaper than existing circuits, and resistant to oxidation
which has been the bane of organic semiconductors to date.
CA At It Again
Criminal investigation of the company's finances and those of its hyper-
wealthy execs shows that founder Charles Wang made a personal $40 million
donation to a university (SUNY - Stony Brook) whose president was on the
company board, one of the four nominally outside directors, and on the
three-person audit committee that approved its deceptive accounting
practices. She is described in proxy statements referring to the gift as a
"non-employee" but not a board member. She is shocked, just shocked that
anyone could link the $40 million gift to her votes as a director. So is
former senator Al D'Amato, also on the audit committee, and who saw gifts of
around $135,000 from the generous Mr. W to his re-election campaign and his
party.